Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 4-5 and No. 115 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 12.1 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 19-17 vs UL Monroe in Week 10.
Week 11: at Coastal Carolina, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit
Why Arkansas State is No. 115
- Arkansas State's rating is −12.1: the machine's estimate that Arkansas State is 12.1 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 115 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
- It started the season at −9.2, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 2.9.
- The biggest weekly moves: −2.0 after Week 3 (L 7-31 at TCU) and −1.6 after Week 10 (L 17-19 vs UL Monroe).
- Its record is 4-5. The 5 losses were to No. 43 TCU, No. 57 Memphis, No. 88 Louisiana, No. 107 South Alabama, No. 135 UL Monroe, by 10.8 points on average. The 4 wins came by 16.0 points on average; the best was over No. 95 Georgia State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
- Its FBS opponents so far average No. 95 in the machine's ratings.
- Just above is No. 114 Miami (OH) (−11.9); just below is No. 116 San José State (−12.2).
The rating, week by week
Strengths and weak spots
Head coach
Butch Jones is in his 6th season at Arkansas State (since 2021). This season: 4-5. At Arkansas State overall: 30-42, counting this season.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Team stats
Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.
Passing
| Completions-attempts | 175-262 |
|---|---|
| Passing yards | 2133 |
| Touchdowns-interceptions | 12-8 |
| Yards per attempt* | 8.1No. 32 of 138 |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.4%No. 20 of 138 |
| Sacks allowed (rate) | 5.4%No. 69 of 138 |
Rushing
| Carries-yards | 290-1211 |
|---|---|
| Yards per carry | 4.2No. 76 of 138 |
| 10-plus-yard runs (rate) | 13.0%No. 86 of 138 |
| Stuffed at or behind the line (rate) | 16.0%No. 51 of 138 |
Scoring
| Points per game | 27.4No. 75 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play | 6.12No. 44 of 138 |
| Third-down rate | 44.2%No. 35 of 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.8%No. 34 of 138 |
| Giveaways | 10No. 46 of 138 |
Defense
| Points allowed per game | 26.3No. 85 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play allowed | 6.23No. 118 of 138 |
| Yards per pass attempt allowed | 7.7No. 104 of 138 |
| Yards per carry allowed | 5.3No. 130 of 138 |
| Sack rate | 2.7%No. 132 of 138 |
| Takeaways | 15No. 18 of 138 |
| Third-down rate allowed | 46.8%No. 126 of 138 |
Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Player leaders
The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).
Passing
- Trey Owens175-262, 2133 yds, 12 TD, 8 INT
Rushing
- Solomon Baggett76 carries, 344 yds, 2 TD
- Trey Owens71 carries, 277 yds, 4 TD
- Kenyon Clay58 carries, 232 yds, 3 TD
Receiving
- Jaylen Bonelli34 catches, 518 yds, 3 TD
- Hunter Summers33 catches, 448 yds, 4 TD
- Chauncy Cobb40 catches, 443 yds, 1 TD
Tackles
- Joe Drew83
- AG McGhee57
- Robert Stevens47
Sacks
- Robert Stevens2
- Ryan Reese1.5
- Joe Drew1
Interceptions
- Brandon Greil2
- Dontrae Henderson2
- Makai Shahid2
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Who's playing
Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.
Throwing
- Trey OwensMost passes in the last game9 games262 attempts100%
Carrying
- Solomon Baggett8 games76 carries36%
- Kenyon Clay7 games58 carries27%
- Timothy Carter9 games24 carries11%
- James Lee6 games21 carries10%
Catching
- Chauncy Cobb9 games40 catches23%
- Jaylen Bonelli9 games34 catches19%
- Hunter Summers8 games33 catches19%
- Nazeviah Burris5 games15 catches9%
Tackling
- Joe Drew9 games83 tackles14%
- AG McGhee9 games57 tackles10%
- Robert Stevens8 games47 tackles8%
- Five Hamilton9 games44 tackles8%
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
The season, week by week
- Week 1 L 24–42 at Memphis. The passing game was the strength: 10.8 yards an attempt, 3.9 more than Memphis usually allows. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 2 W 52–7 vs West Georgia. West Georgia is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against. Won the turnover battle by 3.
- Week 3 L 7–31 at TCU. The pass defense gave ground: TCU got 12.0 yards an attempt, 5.3 over what it usually gains. Its fewest yards an attempt of the season.
- Week 4 W 17–14 vs Kennesaw State. The run defense gave ground: Kennesaw State got 5.2 yards a carry, 1.7 over what it usually gains. The fewest yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
- Week 5 L 20–23 at Louisiana. The run defense gave ground: Louisiana got 5.9 yards a carry, 1.4 over what it usually gains.
- Week 6 L 49–56 vs South Alabama. The run game struggled: 3.6 yards a carry, 2.2 less than South Alabama usually allows. The machine had Arkansas State by 3.3 (59%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Arkansas State lost the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 7 W 23–13 at Southern Miss. The run game struggled: 2.6 yards a carry, 2.7 less than Southern Miss usually allows. The machine had Southern Miss by 0.8 (53%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Arkansas State won the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 8 W 38–32 vs Georgia State. The passing game was the strength: 9.7 yards an attempt, 2.3 more than Georgia State usually allows. The machine had Georgia State by 3.4 (58%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Arkansas State won the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 10 L 17–19 vs UL Monroe. The run defense gave ground: UL Monroe got 5.5 yards a carry, 2.1 over what it usually gains. The machine had Arkansas State by 15.9 (84%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.