The Machine

Army

American Athletic · 5-4CFP unranked

Army is 5-4 and No. 85 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 4.5 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 24-21 vs Air Force in Week 10.

Machine rankNo. 85of all FBS teams
Rating now−4.54.5 points below an average FBS team
Since July+1.1from −5.6 in the preseason rating

Why Army is No. 85

  • Army's rating is −4.5: the machine's estimate that Army is 4.5 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 85 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −5.6, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 1.1.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +2.7 after Week 7 (W 56-24 vs Florida Atlantic) and −1.4 after Week 9 (L 22-49 at Memphis).
  • Its record is 5-4. The 4 losses were to No. 57 Memphis, No. 80 Louisiana Tech, No. 82 Air Force, No. 83 South Florida, by 9.0 points on average. The 5 wins came by 19.6 points on average; the best was over No. 81 Tulsa. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 85 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 84 Jacksonville State (−4.4); just below is No. 86 Utah State (−4.5).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Jeff Monken is in his 13th season at Army (since 2014). This season: 5-4. At Army overall: 94-67, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts54-95
Passing yards607
Touchdowns-interceptions4-4
Yards per attempt*6.3No. 122 of 138
Explosive pass rate8.2%No. 120 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)4.1%No. 37 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards475-2922
Yards per carry6.2No. 2 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)16.0%No. 34 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)11.7%No. 4 of 138

Scoring

Points per game32.2No. 44 of 138
Yards per play6.22No. 40 of 138
Third-down rate46.3%No. 24 of 138
Red-zone TD rate75.9%No. 9 of 138
Giveaways5No. 5 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game25.3No. 72 of 138
Yards per play allowed6.54No. 128 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed8.1No. 122 of 138
Yards per carry allowed5.1No. 122 of 138
Sack rate3.1%No. 128 of 138
Takeaways6No. 132 of 138
Third-down rate allowed50.0%No. 135 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Cale Hellums48-86, 500 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT

Rushing

  1. Cale Hellums185 carries, 908 yds, 18 TD
  2. Godspower Nwawuihe97 carries, 537 yds, 5 TD
  3. Samari Howard45 carries, 385 yds, 2 TD

Receiving

  1. Bradyn Anderson11 catches, 172 yds, 0 TD
  2. Samari Howard15 catches, 142 yds, 1 TD
  3. Zach Mundell10 catches, 111 yds, 1 TD

Tackles

  1. Elijah Walton59
  2. Stephen Nnadozie53
  3. Dillon Stowers36

Sacks

  1. Victor Afolabi3
  2. Dillon Stowers2
  3. Jack Bousum1

Interceptions

  1. Caleb Williams1
  2. Elijah Walton1
  3. Julian Porter1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Cale HellumsMost passes in the last game9 games86 attempts91%
  2. Bryson Luter2 games4 attempts4%
  3. Zach Mundell3 games3 attempts3%
  4. Ethan Washington1 game2 attempts2%

Carrying

  1. Godspower Nwawuihe7 games97 carries34%
  2. Samari Howard9 games45 carries16%
  3. Carson Smith6 games40 carries14%
  4. Jake Rendina8 games34 carries12%

Catching

  1. Samari Howard7 games15 catches28%
  2. Bradyn Anderson6 games11 catches20%
  3. Zach Mundell6 games10 catches19%
  4. Tobi Olawole4 games5 catches9%

Tackling

  1. Elijah Walton9 games59 tackles11%
  2. Stephen Nnadozie9 games53 tackles9%
  3. Dillon Stowers9 games36 tackles6%
  4. Caleb Williams9 games32 tackles6%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 59–3 vs Bryant. Bryant is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  2. Week 2 L 24–28 vs South Florida. The passing game was the strength: 11.4 yards an attempt, 5.7 more than South Florida usually allows. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  3. Week 4 W 21–17 at Temple. The pass defense gave ground: Temple got 12.1 yards an attempt, 4.6 over what it usually gains. The machine had Temple by 2.5 (57%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  4. Week 5 L 29–31 at Louisiana Tech. The run defense gave ground: Louisiana Tech got 7.4 yards a carry, 4.4 over what it usually gains. The machine had Army by 0.9 (52%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
  5. Week 6 W 20–17 vs Tulane. The run game was the strength: 5.6 yards a carry, 0.8 more than Tulane usually allows. The fewest yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  6. Week 7 W 56–24 vs Florida Atlantic. The run game was the strength: 8.0 yards a carry, 2.0 more than Florida Atlantic usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 3.
  7. Week 8 W 38–35 at Tulsa. The run game was the strength: 5.4 yards a carry, 1.3 more than Tulsa usually allows.
  8. Week 9 L 22–49 at Memphis. The passing game struggled: 4.5 yards an attempt, 3.1 less than Memphis usually allows.
  9. Week 10 L 21–24 vs Air Force. The passing game struggled: 3.8 yards an attempt, 3.9 less than Air Force usually allows. The machine had Army by 2.4 (57%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.

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