The Machine

Charlotte

American Athletic · 1-8CFP unranked

Charlotte is 1-8 and No. 130 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 19.1 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 23-12 at UAB in Week 10.

Week 11: vs East Carolina, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 130of all FBS teams
Rating now−19.119.1 points below an average FBS team
Since July−4.5from −14.6 in the preseason rating

Why Charlotte is No. 130

  • Charlotte's rating is −19.1: the machine's estimate that Charlotte is 19.1 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 130 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −14.6, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 4.5.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −4.5 after Week 5 (L 8-59 vs Memphis) and +3.4 after Week 7 (W 38-31 at Temple).
  • Its record is 1-8. The 8 losses were to No. 8 Ole Miss, No. 57 Memphis, No. 62 North Texas, No. 88 Louisiana, No. 94 Tulane, No. 106 App State, No. 110 UAB, The Citadel (FCS), by 21.9 points on average. The win came by 7 points; the best was over No. 105 Temple. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 79 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 129 Eastern Michigan (−18.4); just below is No. 131 Ball State (−19.6).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Tim Albin is in his 2nd season at Charlotte (since 2025). This season: 1-8. At Charlotte overall: 2-19, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts170-271
Passing yards1813
Touchdowns-interceptions9-9
Yards per attempt*6.8No. 103 of 138
Explosive pass rate9.2%No. 98 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)6.0%No. 81 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards275-1052
Yards per carry3.8No. 105 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)14.6%No. 55 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)24.8%No. 135 of 138

Scoring

Points per game19.7No. 125 of 138
Yards per play5.34No. 108 of 138
Third-down rate32.2%No. 127 of 138
Red-zone TD rate59.1%No. 84 of 138
Giveaways16No. 127 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game38.3No. 137 of 138
Yards per play allowed6.40No. 122 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed8.4No. 132 of 138
Yards per carry allowed4.7No. 102 of 138
Sack rate4.4%No. 103 of 138
Takeaways10No. 76 of 138
Third-down rate allowed47.0%No. 127 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Conner Harrell89-139, 1006 yds, 6 TD, 2 INT
  2. Cole Gonzales79-127, 802 yds, 3 TD, 7 INT
  3. Jaylen White2-5, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Henry Rutledge77 carries, 454 yds, 1 TD
  2. Khamani Alexander73 carries, 331 yds, 5 TD
  3. Chance Williams20 carries, 116 yds, 0 TD

Receiving

  1. Jaden Barnes55 catches, 555 yds, 2 TD
  2. Derrick Eley27 catches, 459 yds, 4 TD
  3. Jaylen Hampton26 catches, 321 yds, 2 TD

Tackles

  1. Gavin Willis74
  2. Kadin Schmitz66
  3. Collin Gill57

Sacks

  1. Collin Gill3
  2. D.J. Burgess2
  3. Kadin Schmitz2

Interceptions

  1. Collin Gill2
  2. Devon St. Clair1
  3. Jameel Croft1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Conner HarrellMost passes in the last game6 games139 attempts51%
  2. Cole Gonzales5 games127 attempts47%

Carrying

  1. Henry Rutledge9 games77 carries36%
  2. Khamani Alexander9 games73 carries34%
  3. D'Mariun Perteet5 games24 carries11%
  4. Chance Williams2 games20 carries9%

Catching

  1. Jaden Barnes9 games55 catches32%
  2. Derrick Eley9 games27 catches16%
  3. Jaylen Hampton7 games26 catches15%
  4. Brody Dawyot5 games12 catches7%

Tackling

  1. Gavin Willis9 games74 tackles12%
  2. Kadin Schmitz9 games66 tackles10%
  3. Collin Gill9 games57 tackles9%
  4. Jameel Croft9 games47 tackles7%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 L 41–43 vs The Citadel. The Citadel is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  2. Week 2 L 9–41 at Ole Miss. The pass defense gave ground: Ole Miss got 8.6 yards an attempt, 1.7 over what it usually gains.
  3. Week 3 L 21–26 at App State. The run game struggled: 1.4 yards a carry, 2.8 less than App State usually allows. Its fewest yards a carry of the season.
  4. Week 4 L 7–34 vs Louisiana. The run game struggled: 1.7 yards a carry, 3.0 less than Louisiana usually allows. Lost the turnover battle by 3.
  5. Week 5 L 8–59 vs Memphis. The pass defense gave ground: Memphis got 12.3 yards an attempt, 2.8 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 4.
  6. Week 6 L 10–50 at North Texas. The run game struggled: 1.7 yards a carry, 3.0 less than North Texas usually allows. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  7. Week 7 W 38–31 at Temple. The passing game was the strength: 9.7 yards an attempt, 1.5 more than Temple usually allows. The machine had Temple by 14.9 (82%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  8. Week 9 L 31–38 vs Tulane. The run defense gave ground: Tulane got 5.4 yards a carry, 1.3 over what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  9. Week 10 L 12–23 at UAB. The run game struggled: 1.9 yards a carry, 2.6 less than UAB usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 4.

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