Missouri State

Conference USA · 3-6CFP unranked

Missouri State is 3-6 and No. 125 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 15.2 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 23-20 at Florida International in Week 10.

Week 11: vs New Mexico State, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 125of all FBS teams
Rating now−15.215.2 points below an average FBS team
Since July−4.9from −10.3 in the preseason rating

Why Missouri State is No. 125

  • Missouri State's rating is −15.2: the machine's estimate that Missouri State is 15.2 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 125 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −10.3, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 4.9.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −4.6 after Week 1 (L 0-50 at Texas A&M) and −2.4 after Week 6 (L 13-34 at Western Kentucky).
  • Its record is 3-6. The 6 losses were to No. 14 Texas A&M, No. 25 SMU, No. 99 Delaware, No. 108 Florida International, No. 119 Marshall, No. 124 Western Kentucky, by 18.8 points on average. The 3 wins came by 19.3 points on average; the best was over No. 113 Kennesaw State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 92 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 124 Western Kentucky (−15.2); just below is No. 126 Massachusetts (−15.7).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Casey Woods is in his 1st season at Missouri State. This season: 3-6.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts177-271
Passing yards2094
Touchdowns-interceptions12-7
Yards per attempt*7.7No. 60 of 138
Explosive pass rate12.2%No. 33 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)5.6%No. 72 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards296-1119
Yards per carry3.8No. 107 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)11.3%No. 115 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)18.2%No. 88 of 138

Scoring

Points per game23.9No. 99 of 138
Yards per play5.73No. 86 of 138
Third-down rate36.6%No. 100 of 138
Red-zone TD rate48.4%No. 117 of 138
Giveaways11No. 66 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game30.0No. 112 of 138
Yards per play allowed6.12No. 115 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.8No. 111 of 138
Yards per carry allowed4.6No. 98 of 138
Sack rate5.3%No. 86 of 138
Takeaways10No. 83 of 138
Third-down rate allowed42.1%No. 109 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Henry Belin IV104-161, 1296 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
  2. Skyler Locklear71-108, 788 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT

Rushing

  1. Connor Lair82 carries, 326 yds, 4 TD
  2. Ramone Green Jr.68 carries, 275 yds, 2 TD
  3. Jambres Dubar48 carries, 245 yds, 2 TD

Receiving

  1. Isaiah Myers46 catches, 940 yds, 8 TD
  2. Jmariyae Robinson50 catches, 491 yds, 1 TD
  3. Mekhi Miller16 catches, 192 yds, 0 TD

Tackles

  1. Jared Lloyd103
  2. J.J. O'Neal54
  3. Christian Ford50

Sacks

  1. Tim Brantley Jr.4
  2. Joshua Lukusa2.5
  3. Jared Lloyd2

Interceptions

  1. Joel Boamah2
  2. J.J. O'Neal1
  3. Jashawn Cooper1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Henry Belin IVMost passes in the last game8 games161 attempts59%
  2. Skyler Locklear5 games108 attempts40%

Carrying

  1. Connor Lair9 games82 carries36%
  2. Ramone Green Jr.9 games68 carries30%
  3. Jambres Dubar7 games48 carries21%
  4. King Davis6 games17 carries7%

Catching

  1. Jmariyae Robinson8 games50 catches28%
  2. Isaiah Myers8 games46 catches26%
  3. Mekhi Miller5 games16 catches9%
  4. Dillon Hipp6 games13 catches7%

Tackling

  1. Jared Lloyd9 games103 tackles16%
  2. J.J. O'Neal9 games54 tackles8%
  3. Christian Ford9 games50 tackles8%
  4. Jashawn Cooper8 games37 tackles6%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 L 0–50 at Texas A&M. The passing game struggled: 1.8 yards an attempt, 6.9 less than Texas A&M usually allows. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  2. Week 2 W 48–14 vs Lindenwood. Lindenwood is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  3. Week 3 L 24–30 vs Marshall. The passing game was the strength: 11.0 yards an attempt, 3.8 more than Marshall usually allows. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  4. Week 4 L 24–34 at SMU. The pass defense gave ground: SMU got 11.6 yards an attempt, 2.9 over what it usually gains. The offense gave up 7 sacks.
  5. Week 6 L 13–34 at Western Kentucky. The passing game struggled: 5.4 yards an attempt, 2.9 less than Western Kentucky usually allows.
  6. Week 7 W 24–21 vs Kennesaw State. The run defense was the strength: Kennesaw State got 2.9 yards a carry, 1.0 under what it usually gains.
  7. Week 8 L 38–61 at Delaware. The run defense gave ground: Delaware got 5.5 yards a carry, 2.6 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  8. Week 9 W 24–3 vs Sam Houston. The passing game was the strength: 10.2 yards an attempt, 4.0 more than Sam Houston usually allows. The defense had 5 sacks.
  9. Week 10 L 20–23 at Florida International. The run defense gave ground: Florida International got 6.3 yards a carry, 3.0 over what it usually gains. The most yards a carry it has allowed all season.

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