UCF
UCF is 5-4 and No. 56 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 2.1 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 33-32 at Kansas in Week 10.
Week 11: vs Arizona State, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit
Why UCF is No. 56
- UCF's rating is 2.1: the machine's estimate that UCF is 2.1 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 56 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
- It started the season at 2.1, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have left it where it started.
- The biggest weekly moves: −2.5 after Week 9 (L 9-41 vs Baylor) and +1.5 after Week 2 (L 7-12 at Pittsburgh).
- Its record is 5-4. The 4 losses were to No. 24 Oklahoma State, No. 29 Baylor, No. 38 Houston, No. 45 Pittsburgh, by 15.2 points on average. The 5 wins came by 19.6 points on average; the best was over No. 22 BYU. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
- Its FBS opponents so far average No. 43 in the machine's ratings.
- Just above is No. 55 Vanderbilt (2.4); just below is No. 57 Memphis (2.1).
The rating, week by week
Strengths and weak spots
Head coach
Scott Frost is in his 4th season at UCF (since 2016). This season: 5-4. At UCF overall: 29-18, counting this season.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Team stats
Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.
Passing
| Completions-attempts | 181-280 |
|---|---|
| Passing yards | 1915 |
| Touchdowns-interceptions | 15-6 |
| Yards per attempt* | 6.9No. 101 of 138 |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.8%No. 109 of 138 |
| Sacks allowed (rate) | 6.1%No. 90 of 138 |
Rushing
| Carries-yards | 303-1316 |
|---|---|
| Yards per carry | 4.3No. 75 of 138 |
| 10-plus-yard runs (rate) | 16.1%No. 33 of 138 |
| Stuffed at or behind the line (rate) | 20.4%No. 113 of 138 |
Scoring
| Points per game | 30.1No. 55 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play | 5.61No. 93 of 138 |
| Third-down rate | 35.3%No. 108 of 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.5%No. 81 of 138 |
| Giveaways | 11No. 73 of 138 |
Defense
| Points allowed per game | 26.0No. 82 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play allowed | 5.52No. 72 of 138 |
| Yards per pass attempt allowed | 7.7No. 107 of 138 |
| Yards per carry allowed | 3.6No. 41 of 138 |
| Sack rate | 5.0%No. 93 of 138 |
| Takeaways | 14No. 36 of 138 |
| Third-down rate allowed | 40.6%No. 94 of 138 |
Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Player leaders
The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).
Passing
- Keyone Jenkins122-180, 1181 yds, 11 TD, 4 INT
- Alonza Barnett57-96, 728 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT
Rushing
- Duke Watson94 carries, 596 yds, 3 TD
- Landen Chambers55 carries, 225 yds, 4 TD
- Taevion Swint40 carries, 181 yds, 3 TD
Receiving
- Joshua Derry45 catches, 571 yds, 4 TD
- Tyren Hornes25 catches, 314 yds, 1 TD
- Waden Charles25 catches, 285 yds, 2 TD
Tackles
- Tackett Curtis59
- Jayden Williams46
- Jahleel Culbreath44
Sacks
- Isaiah Nixon2.5
- Jeffson Lafontant2
- Tackett Curtis2
Interceptions
- Demari Henderson2
- Tackett Curtis2
- Antoine Jackson1
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Who's playing
Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.
Throwing
- Keyone Jenkins7 games180 attempts65%
- Alonza BarnettMost passes in the last game4 games96 attempts34%
Carrying
- Duke Watson9 games94 carries43%
- Landen Chambers8 games55 carries25%
- Taevion Swint7 games40 carries18%
- Agyeman Addae2 games6 carries3%
Catching
- Joshua Derry9 games45 catches25%
- Tyren Hornes8 games25 catches14%
- Waden Charles8 games25 catches14%
- Caden Piening7 games17 catches9%
Tackling
- Tackett Curtis9 games59 tackles10%
- Jayden Williams9 games46 tackles7%
- Jahleel Culbreath9 games44 tackles7%
- Demari Henderson7 games35 tackles6%
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
The season, week by week
- Week 1 W 73–6 vs Bethune-Cookman. Bethune-Cookman is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
- Week 2 L 7–12 at Pittsburgh. The run defense was the strength: Pittsburgh got 2.4 yards a carry, 2.3 under what it usually gains. Its fewest yards a carry of the season.
- Week 3 W 44–30 vs Georgia State. The run game was the strength: 7.6 yards a carry, 4.0 more than Georgia State usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 4 W 21–13 vs TCU. The run defense was the strength: TCU got 1.2 yards a carry, 1.7 under what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 5 L 17–27 at Houston. The pass defense was the strength: Houston got 7.0 yards an attempt, 2.0 under what it usually gains.
- Week 6 L 28–42 at Oklahoma State. The run defense was the strength: Oklahoma State got 3.4 yards a carry, 2.0 under what it usually gains.
- Week 8 W 39–31 vs BYU. The run defense was the strength: BYU got 3.2 yards a carry, 1.6 under what it usually gains. The machine had BYU by 9.5 (72%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
- Week 9 L 9–41 vs Baylor. The pass defense gave ground: Baylor got 12.8 yards an attempt, 6.0 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 10 W 33–32 at Kansas. The run game struggled: 2.9 yards a carry, 2.0 less than Kansas usually allows. The machine had Kansas by 7.5 (69%), so this was a win it did not see coming.