The Machine

Colorado State

Pac-12 · 3-6CFP unranked

Colorado State is 3-6 and No. 123 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 14.4 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 64-38 vs Boise State in Week 10.

Week 11: at Washington State, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 123of all FBS teams
Rating now−14.414.4 points below an average FBS team
Since July−2.0from −12.4 in the preseason rating

Why Colorado State is No. 123

  • Colorado State's rating is −14.4: the machine's estimate that Colorado State is 14.4 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 123 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −12.4, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 2.0.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −3.3 after Week 5 (L 26-56 vs Oregon State) and −2.6 after Week 7 (L 27-66 at Texas State).
  • Its record is 3-6. The 6 losses were to No. 22 BYU, No. 34 Boise State, No. 64 Texas State, No. 70 Oregon State, No. 77 UTSA, No. 86 Utah State, by 24.0 points on average. The 3 wins came by 21.0 points on average; the best was over No. 100 San Diego State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 70 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 122 Southern Miss (−14.4); just below is No. 124 Western Kentucky (−15.2).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Jim Mora is in his 1st season at Colorado State. This season: 3-6.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts201-316
Passing yards2474
Touchdowns-interceptions23-5
Yards per attempt*7.7No. 54 of 138
Explosive pass rate10.6%No. 66 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)1.5%No. 3 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards280-1523
Yards per carry5.4No. 10 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)13.0%No. 87 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)17.7%No. 74 of 138

Scoring

Points per game35.8No. 20 of 138
Yards per play6.60No. 18 of 138
Third-down rate44.6%No. 31 of 138
Red-zone TD rate80.0%No. 3 of 138
Giveaways8No. 24 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game44.8No. 138 of 138
Yards per play allowed8.03No. 138 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed11.1No. 138 of 138
Yards per carry allowed6.7No. 138 of 138
Sack rate3.5%No. 124 of 138
Takeaways14No. 27 of 138
Third-down rate allowed52.7%No. 137 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

In at least one game this season, the team box score and the player box score disagree by a few plays or yards. The team totals above use the team box score; the player leaders use the player box score.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Hauss Hejny104-159, 1391 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT
  2. Ksaan Farrar93-151, 996 yds, 6 TD, 2 INT
  3. Darius Curry6-8, 70 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Jayden Brown54 carries, 456 yds, 3 TD
  2. Durell Robinson104 carries, 449 yds, 9 TD
  3. Hauss Hejny39 carries, 277 yds, 4 TD

Receiving

  1. Reginald Vick Jr32 catches, 463 yds, 4 TD
  2. Terrence Smith Jr.29 catches, 392 yds, 5 TD
  3. Tommy Maher25 catches, 356 yds, 3 TD

Tackles

  1. Oumar Diomande85
  2. TreShawn Moore72
  3. Antarron Turner39

Sacks

  1. Brandon Kelly1.5
  2. Elijah Brown1.5
  3. Kenyon Agurs1.5

Interceptions

  1. C.J. Blocker3
  2. Oumar Diomande2
  3. D'Angelo Hagans Jr.1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Hauss HejnyMost passes in the last game6 games159 attempts50%
  2. Ksaan Farrar6 games151 attempts47%
  3. Darius Curry1 game8 attempts2%

Carrying

  1. Durell Robinson8 games104 carries47%
  2. Jayden Brown8 games54 carries25%
  3. Oliver Lundberg-Coleman7 games26 carries12%
  4. Malichi Greaves4 games11 carries5%

Catching

  1. Reginald Vick Jr7 games32 catches16%
  2. Terrence Smith Jr.9 games29 catches14%
  3. Jackson Harper7 games26 catches13%
  4. Tommy Maher7 games25 catches12%

Tackling

  1. Oumar Diomande9 games85 tackles12%
  2. TreShawn Moore9 games72 tackles10%
  3. Antarron Turner9 games39 tackles6%
  4. Jaseim Mitchell8 games35 tackles5%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 35–13 vs Wyoming. The run defense was the strength: Wyoming got 4.2 yards a carry, 1.4 under what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 4.
  2. Week 2 W 58–24 vs Southern Utah. Southern Utah is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against. Won the turnover battle by 3.
  3. Week 3 L 23–41 vs BYU. The pass defense gave ground: BYU got 13.4 yards an attempt, 5.9 over what it usually gains. Its fewest yards an attempt of the season.
  4. Week 4 L 45–59 at UTSA. The pass defense gave ground: UTSA got 10.1 yards an attempt, 3.3 over what it usually gains.
  5. Week 5 L 26–56 vs Oregon State. The pass defense gave ground: Oregon State got 13.1 yards an attempt, 5.2 over what it usually gains. Its most yards a carry of the season.
  6. Week 7 L 27–66 at Texas State. The run defense gave ground: Texas State got 9.1 yards a carry, 4.2 over what it usually gains. The most yards a carry it has allowed all season.
  7. Week 8 W 56–49 vs San Diego State. The pass defense gave ground: San Diego State got 11.2 yards an attempt, 5.8 over what it usually gains. The machine had San Diego State by 5.1 (62%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  8. Week 9 L 14–31 at Utah State. The run defense gave ground: Utah State got 6.0 yards a carry, 2.5 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  9. Week 10 L 38–64 vs Boise State. The pass defense gave ground: Boise State got 16.7 yards an attempt, 8.9 over what it usually gains. The most yards an attempt it has allowed all season.

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