Oregon State

Pac-12 · 5-4CFP unranked

Oregon State is 5-4 and No. 70 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 1.4 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 42-21 vs Texas State in Week 10.

Week 11: at Boise State, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 70of all FBS teams
Rating now−1.41.4 points below an average FBS team
Since July+6.7from −8.1 in the preseason rating

Why Oregon State is No. 70

  • Oregon State's rating is −1.4: the machine's estimate that Oregon State is 1.4 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 70 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −8.1, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 6.7.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +3.6 after Week 6 (W 66-14 vs San Diego State) and +3.0 after Week 2 (L 24-35 vs Texas Tech).
  • Its record is 5-4. The 4 losses were to No. 21 Texas Tech, No. 38 Houston, No. 64 Texas State, No. 72 Fresno State, by 15.2 points on average. The 5 wins came by 32.2 points on average; the best was over No. 98 Washington State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 82 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 69 North Dakota State (−0.7); just below is No. 71 Boston College (−1.8).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

JaMarcus Shephard is in his 1st season at Oregon State. This season: 5-4.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts257-389
Passing yards3239
Touchdowns-interceptions27-4
Yards per attempt*8.6No. 20 of 138
Explosive pass rate12.1%No. 36 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)3.0%No. 18 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards258-1124
Yards per carry4.4No. 67 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)12.7%No. 95 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)13.5%No. 16 of 138

Scoring

Points per game38.0No. 12 of 138
Yards per play6.57No. 21 of 138
Third-down rate44.3%No. 34 of 138
Red-zone TD rate70.7%No. 25 of 138
Giveaways8No. 31 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game26.9No. 90 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.59No. 76 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed6.8No. 52 of 138
Yards per carry allowed4.7No. 105 of 138
Sack rate6.2%No. 55 of 138
Takeaways12No. 57 of 138
Third-down rate allowed42.5%No. 112 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

In at least one game this season, the team box score and the player box score disagree by a few plays or yards. The team totals above use the team box score; the player leaders use the player box score.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Braden Atkinson241-367, 3148 yds, 25 TD, 3 INT
  2. Maalik Murphy16-19, 156 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

Rushing

  1. AJ Newberry81 carries, 506 yds, 4 TD
  2. Cornell Hatcher Jr.57 carries, 280 yds, 6 TD
  3. Kourdey Glass21 carries, 107 yds, 1 TD

Receiving

  1. Jesse Legree61 catches, 1209 yds, 14 TD
  2. Eric Olsen39 catches, 435 yds, 4 TD
  3. AJ Newberry27 catches, 303 yds, 1 TD

Tackles

  1. Aiden Sullivan70
  2. Takari Hickle47
  3. Drake Vickers45

Sacks

  1. Takari Hickle7
  2. Aiden Sullivan2
  3. Daniel Matagi1.5

Interceptions

  1. Sailasa Vadrawale2
  2. Drake Vickers1
  3. Gyriece Goodman1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Braden AtkinsonMost passes in the last game9 games367 attempts94%
  2. Maalik Murphy3 games19 attempts5%

Carrying

  1. AJ Newberry9 games81 carries36%
  2. Cornell Hatcher Jr.9 games57 carries25%
  3. Tre Garrison5 games29 carries13%
  4. Jake Reichle7 games23 carries10%

Catching

  1. Jesse Legree9 games61 catches23%
  2. Eric Olsen9 games39 catches15%
  3. D.C. Temple9 games32 catches12%
  4. AJ Newberry9 games27 catches10%

Tackling

  1. Aiden Sullivan9 games70 tackles11%
  2. Takari Hickle9 games47 tackles8%
  3. Drake Vickers9 games45 tackles7%
  4. Gyriece Goodman9 games45 tackles7%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 L 20–33 at Houston. The run game struggled: 1.0 yards a carry, 3.5 less than Houston usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  2. Week 2 L 24–35 vs Texas Tech. The run defense was the strength: Texas Tech got 3.4 yards a carry, 2.3 under what it usually gains.
  3. Week 3 W 52–17 vs Montana. Montana is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  4. Week 4 W 33–7 at UTEP. The run game was the strength: 6.5 yards a carry, 1.7 more than UTEP usually allows. The defense had 7 sacks.
  5. Week 5 W 56–26 at Colorado State. The run defense gave ground: Colorado State got 6.7 yards a carry, 2.0 over what it usually gains. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  6. Week 6 W 66–14 vs San Diego State. The pass defense was the strength: San Diego State got 3.2 yards an attempt, 3.5 under what it usually gains. The fewest yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  7. Week 7 W 48–30 vs Washington State. The run defense gave ground: Washington State got 5.6 yards a carry, 3.0 over what it usually gains.
  8. Week 9 L 22–38 at Fresno State. The pass defense gave ground: Fresno State got 11.7 yards an attempt, 4.4 over what it usually gains. The machine had Oregon State by 3.0 (57%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
  9. Week 10 L 21–42 vs Texas State. The pass defense gave ground: Texas State got 10.2 yards an attempt, 2.3 over what it usually gains. The machine had Oregon State by 4.4 (62%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.

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