Oregon
Oregon is 6-3, No. 16 in the CFP rankings, and No. 13 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 16.7 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 41-28 at Ohio State in Week 10. The machine gives Oregon a 14% chance to make the playoff.
Week 11: vs Michigan, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit
Why Oregon is No. 13
- Oregon's rating is 16.7: the machine's estimate that Oregon is 16.7 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 13 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
- It started the season at 25.3, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 8.6.
- The biggest weekly moves: −5.6 after Week 2 (L 31-39 at Oklahoma State) and −3.4 after Week 1 (W 34-27 vs Boise State).
- Its record is 6-3. The 3 losses were to No. 24 Oklahoma State, No. 40 UCLA, No. 42 Illinois, by 7.0 points on average. The 6 wins came by 21.5 points on average; the best was over No. 7 Ohio State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
- Its FBS opponents so far average No. 28 in the machine's ratings.
- Just above is No. 12 Utah (17.3); just below is No. 14 Texas A&M (16.5).
The rating, week by week
Strengths and weak spots
Head coach
Dan Lanning is in his 5th season at Oregon (since 2022). This season: 6-3. At Oregon overall: 54-11, counting this season.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Team stats
Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.
Passing
| Completions-attempts | 216-331 |
|---|---|
| Passing yards | 2569 |
| Touchdowns-interceptions | 21-3 |
| Yards per attempt* | 7.6No. 64 of 138 |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5%No. 47 of 138 |
| Sacks allowed (rate) | 2.4%No. 10 of 138 |
Rushing
| Carries-yards | 297-1215 |
|---|---|
| Yards per carry | 4.1No. 90 of 138 |
| 10-plus-yard runs (rate) | 12.8%No. 92 of 138 |
| Stuffed at or behind the line (rate) | 22.3%No. 127 of 138 |
Scoring
| Points per game | 34.1No. 29 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play | 6.10No. 46 of 138 |
| Third-down rate | 37.8%No. 89 of 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.5%No. 37 of 138 |
| Giveaways | 13No. 99 of 138 |
Defense
| Points allowed per game | 22.1No. 49 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play allowed | 5.23No. 42 of 138 |
| Yards per pass attempt allowed | 6.7No. 45 of 138 |
| Yards per carry allowed | 3.7No. 46 of 138 |
| Sack rate | 6.0%No. 67 of 138 |
| Takeaways | 13No. 44 of 138 |
| Third-down rate allowed | 32.6%No. 26 of 138 |
Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Player leaders
The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).
Passing
- Dylan Raiola121-185, 1354 yds, 11 TD, 2 INT
- Dante Moore69-99, 926 yds, 9 TD, 0 INT
- Brock Thomas23-40, 228 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Rushing
- Dierre Hill Jr.96 carries, 474 yds, 5 TD
- Jordon Davison91 carries, 439 yds, 7 TD
- Brandon Smith37 carries, 205 yds, 2 TD
Receiving
- Dakorien Moore48 catches, 601 yds, 7 TD
- Evan Stewart35 catches, 470 yds, 4 TD
- Jamari Johnson29 catches, 370 yds, 3 TD
Tackles
- Koi Perich58
- Devon Jackson56
- Teitum Tuioti45
Sacks
- Matayo Uiagalelei5.5
- Teitum Tuioti5.5
- Nasir Wyatt3
Interceptions
- Jett Washington2
- Koi Perich2
- Davon Benjamin1
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Who's playing
Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.
Throwing
- Dylan RaiolaMost passes in the last game7 games185 attempts56%
- Dante Moore4 games99 attempts30%
- Brock Thomas3 games40 attempts12%
Carrying
- Dierre Hill Jr.9 games96 carries36%
- Jordon Davison8 games91 carries34%
- Brandon Smith5 games37 carries14%
- Da'Jaun Riggs4 games22 carries8%
Catching
- Dakorien Moore9 games48 catches22%
- Evan Stewart7 games35 catches16%
- Jamari Johnson7 games29 catches13%
- Dierre Hill Jr.8 games24 catches11%
Tackling
- Koi Perich9 games58 tackles10%
- Devon Jackson8 games56 tackles10%
- Teitum Tuioti9 games45 tackles8%
- Jerry Mixon9 games42 tackles7%
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
The season, week by week
- Week 1 W 34–27 vs Boise State. The run defense was the strength: Boise State got 2.6 yards a carry, 3.2 under what it usually gains.
- Week 2 L 31–39 at Oklahoma State. The pass defense was the strength: Oklahoma State got 7.0 yards an attempt, 2.6 under what it usually gains. The most yards a carry it has allowed all season.
- Week 3 W 84–0 vs Portland State. Portland State is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against. Won the turnover battle by 4.
- Week 4 W 41–27 at USC. The passing game was the strength: 10.5 yards an attempt, 3.1 more than USC usually allows.
- Week 6 L 15–17 vs UCLA. The run defense was the strength: UCLA got 3.0 yards a carry, 2.6 under what it usually gains. The machine had Oregon by 9.6 (73%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Oregon lost the turnover battle by 4.
- Week 7 W 17–14 vs Nebraska. The passing game struggled: 3.0 yards an attempt, 3.8 less than Nebraska usually allows. Its fewest yards an attempt of the season.
- Week 8 L 10–21 at Illinois. The pass defense was the strength: Illinois got 4.7 yards an attempt, 2.7 under what it usually gains. The machine had Oregon by 10.4 (74%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
- Week 9 W 34–26 vs Northwestern. The passing game was the strength: 10.5 yards an attempt, 4.6 more than Northwestern usually allows.
- Week 10 W 41–28 at Ohio State. The pass defense was the strength: Ohio State got 7.2 yards an attempt, 2.9 under what it usually gains. The machine had Ohio State by 12.2 (78%), so this was a win it did not see coming.