Illinois

Big Ten · 6-3CFP unranked

Illinois is 6-3 and No. 42 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 7.4 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 24-13 vs Nebraska in Week 10.

Week 11: at UCLA, Friday, Nov 13: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 42of all FBS teams
Rating now7.47.4 points better than an average FBS team
Since July+1.1from 6.3 in the preseason rating

Why Illinois is No. 42

  • Illinois's rating is 7.4: the machine's estimate that Illinois is 7.4 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 42 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 6.3, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 1.1.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +2.5 after Week 8 (W 21-10 vs Oregon) and −1.9 after Week 5 (L 17-24 vs Purdue).
  • Its record is 6-3. The 3 losses were to No. 7 Ohio State, No. 28 Duke, No. 63 Purdue, by 11.3 points on average. The 6 wins came by 13.8 points on average; the best was over No. 13 Oregon. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 47 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 41 Clemson (7.9); just below is No. 43 TCU (7.3).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Bret Bielema is in his 6th season at Illinois (since 2021). This season: 6-3. At Illinois overall: 43-29, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts180-281
Passing yards2132
Touchdowns-interceptions20-5
Yards per attempt*7.6No. 63 of 138
Explosive pass rate11.3%No. 48 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)3.4%No. 22 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards280-1398
Yards per carry5.0No. 30 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)12.0%No. 108 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)15.4%No. 40 of 138

Scoring

Points per game28.4No. 68 of 138
Yards per play6.31No. 37 of 138
Third-down rate45.9%No. 26 of 138
Red-zone TD rate65.4%No. 46 of 138
Giveaways6No. 11 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game23.0No. 54 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.83No. 92 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.5No. 94 of 138
Yards per carry allowed4.0No. 65 of 138
Sack rate2.3%No. 135 of 138
Takeaways6No. 133 of 138
Third-down rate allowed42.0%No. 108 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Katin Houser162-252, 1955 yds, 16 TD, 5 INT
  2. Michael Clayton II17-26, 172 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Aidan Laughery100 carries, 615 yds, 2 TD
  2. Ca'Lil Valentine50 carries, 225 yds, 1 TD
  3. Jordan Anderson45 carries, 199 yds, 2 TD

Receiving

  1. Collin Dixon67 catches, 905 yds, 12 TD
  2. Hudson Clement37 catches, 540 yds, 1 TD
  3. Brayden Trimble23 catches, 203 yds, 1 TD

Tackles

  1. Matthew Bailey66
  2. James Kreutz60
  3. Ismael Kante55

Sacks

  1. Ean Rhea2
  2. Daniel Brown1.5
  3. William Holmes1.5

Interceptions

  1. Ismael Kante1
  2. Matthew Bailey1
  3. Tanner Heckel1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Katin HouserMost passes in the last game8 games252 attempts90%
  2. Michael Clayton II2 games26 attempts9%

Carrying

  1. Aidan Laughery9 games100 carries43%
  2. Ca'Lil Valentine5 games50 carries22%
  3. Jordan Anderson8 games45 carries19%
  4. Javari Barnett6 games27 carries12%

Catching

  1. Collin Dixon9 games67 catches37%
  2. Hudson Clement8 games37 catches21%
  3. Brayden Trimble9 games23 catches13%
  4. Ty Robinson7 games13 catches7%

Tackling

  1. Matthew Bailey9 games66 tackles12%
  2. James Kreutz9 games60 tackles11%
  3. Ismael Kante9 games55 tackles10%
  4. Jaheim Clarke9 games47 tackles8%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 42–23 vs UAB. The passing game was the strength: 10.7 yards an attempt, 5.2 more than UAB usually allows. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  2. Week 2 L 27–31 vs Duke. The pass defense gave ground: Duke got 9.7 yards an attempt, 2.8 over what it usually gains.
  3. Week 3 W 48–10 vs Southern Illinois. Southern Illinois is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  4. Week 4 L 19–42 at Ohio State. The run game was the strength: 6.0 yards a carry, 3.1 more than Ohio State usually allows. Its most yards a carry of the season.
  5. Week 5 L 17–24 vs Purdue. The passing game struggled: 5.9 yards an attempt, 3.2 less than Purdue usually allows. The machine had Illinois by 9.6 (73%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
  6. Week 6 W 38–37 at Michigan State. The run defense gave ground: Michigan State got 4.7 yards a carry, 1.8 over what it usually gains. The machine had Michigan State by 1.6 (55%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  7. Week 8 W 21–10 vs Oregon. The run game was the strength: 5.8 yards a carry, 2.2 more than Oregon usually allows. The machine had Oregon by 10.4 (74%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  8. Week 9 W 20–17 at Maryland. The run game was the strength: 5.6 yards a carry, 1.3 more than Maryland usually allows.
  9. Week 10 W 24–13 vs Nebraska. The passing game was the strength: 8.1 yards an attempt, 2.2 more than Nebraska usually allows. The machine had Nebraska by 5.8 (64%), so this was a win it did not see coming.

How to read this