The Machine

Sacramento State

Mid-American · 2-8CFP unranked

Sacramento State is 2-8 and No. 138 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 26.1 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 20-17 vs Toledo in Week 10.

Week 11: at Central Michigan, Wednesday, Nov 11: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 138of all FBS teams
Rating now−26.126.1 points below an average FBS team
Since July−15.7from −10.4 in the preseason rating

Why Sacramento State is No. 138

  • Sacramento State's rating is −26.1: the machine's estimate that Sacramento State is 26.1 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 138 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −10.4, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 15.7.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −6.3 after Week 2 (L 3-49 at Fresno State) and −3.1 after Week 1 (L 17-28 at Eastern Michigan).
  • Its record is 2-8. The 8 losses were to No. 69 North Dakota State, No. 72 Fresno State, No. 89 Toledo, No. 97 Ohio, No. 126 Massachusetts, No. 127 Bowling Green, No. 129 Eastern Michigan, No. 131 Ball State, by 24.5 points on average. The 2 wins came by 36.5 points on average; the best was over No. 132 Kent State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 108 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 137 UTEP (−23.9).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Alonzo Carter is in his 1st season at Sacramento State. This season: 2-8.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 10 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts189-333
Passing yards1908
Touchdowns-interceptions10-7
Yards per attempt*5.8No. 135 of 138
Explosive pass rate4.8%No. 137 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)5.7%No. 74 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards313-976
Yards per carry3.1No. 134 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)10.1%No. 125 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)25.0%No. 136 of 138

Scoring

Points per game17.0No. 133 of 138
Yards per play4.50No. 137 of 138
Third-down rate32.4%No. 125 of 138
Red-zone TD rate34.8%No. 137 of 138
Giveaways16No. 128 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game29.3No. 108 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.85No. 93 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.5No. 97 of 138
Yards per carry allowed4.7No. 107 of 138
Sack rate4.2%No. 111 of 138
Takeaways11No. 71 of 138
Third-down rate allowed39.2%No. 81 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

In at least one game this season, the team box score and the player box score disagree by a few plays or yards. The team totals above use the team box score; the player leaders use the player box score.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Jackson Sharman145-259, 1487 yds, 9 TD, 6 INT
  2. Carson Conklin25-46, 222 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
  3. Brian Salazar19-28, 202 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Isaiah Ene89 carries, 411 yds, 3 TD
  2. Daniel Swinney55 carries, 289 yds, 1 TD
  3. Cincere Rhaney45 carries, 201 yds, 0 TD

Receiving

  1. Matthew Coleman46 catches, 538 yds, 6 TD
  2. Onterrio Smith Jr.37 catches, 413 yds, 1 TD
  3. Raiden Brown29 catches, 326 yds, 0 TD

Tackles

  1. Boogsie Silvera78
  2. Amari Wallace47
  3. Fata Puloka41

Sacks

  1. Miles Bailey2
  2. Fata Puloka1.5
  3. Tim Thomas1.5

Interceptions

  1. Boogsie Silvera4
  2. Donovan Turner1
  3. Malikai Nichols1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Jackson Sharman9 games259 attempts78%
  2. Carson Conklin1 game46 attempts14%
  3. Brian SalazarMost passes in the last game4 games28 attempts8%

Carrying

  1. Isaiah Ene10 games89 carries35%
  2. Daniel Swinney9 games55 carries22%
  3. Cincere Rhaney9 games45 carries18%
  4. Jamar Curtis8 games39 carries16%

Catching

  1. Matthew Coleman10 games46 catches24%
  2. Onterrio Smith Jr.10 games37 catches20%
  3. Raiden Brown9 games29 catches15%
  4. Isaiah Ene7 games15 catches8%

Tackling

  1. Boogsie Silvera10 games78 tackles12%
  2. Amari Wallace10 games47 tackles7%
  3. Fata Puloka9 games41 tackles6%
  4. Leki Holani9 games34 tackles5%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 L 17–28 at Eastern Michigan. The passing game struggled: 4.9 yards an attempt, 4.0 less than Eastern Michigan usually allows. The fewest yards a carry it has allowed all season.
  2. Week 1 W 52–0 vs Mississippi Valley State. Mississippi Valley State is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  3. Week 2 L 3–49 at Fresno State. The pass defense gave ground: Fresno State got 11.7 yards an attempt, 4.7 over what it usually gains. The most yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  4. Week 3 L 10–31 vs North Dakota State. The pass defense gave ground: North Dakota State got 8.4 yards an attempt, 1.4 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 3.
  5. Week 4 L 6–35 vs Massachusetts. The run defense gave ground: Massachusetts got 6.3 yards a carry, 2.6 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 3.
  6. Week 6 L 10–38 at Bowling Green. The run game struggled: 2.0 yards a carry, 3.3 less than Bowling Green usually allows.
  7. Week 7 L 7–48 vs Ohio. The pass defense gave ground: Ohio got 9.2 yards an attempt, 2.5 over what it usually gains. Its most yards a carry of the season.
  8. Week 8 L 17–34 at Ball State. The pass defense gave ground: Ball State got 10.5 yards an attempt, 4.7 over what it usually gains. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  9. Week 9 W 31–10 vs Kent State. The passing game struggled: 4.7 yards an attempt, 4.3 less than Kent State usually allows. The machine had Kent State by 6.2 (65%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Sacramento State won the turnover battle by 4.
  10. Week 10 L 17–20 vs Toledo. The pass defense was the strength: Toledo got 3.5 yards an attempt, 5.0 under what it usually gains. Its fewest yards a carry of the season.

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