The Machine

Troy

Sun Belt · 4-5CFP unranked

Troy is 4-5 and No. 112 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 11.1 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 41-17 vs Louisiana Tech in Week 10.

Week 11: at South Alabama, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 112of all FBS teams
Rating now−11.111.1 points below an average FBS team
Since July−3.7from −7.4 in the preseason rating

Why Troy is No. 112

  • Troy's rating is −11.1: the machine's estimate that Troy is 11.1 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 112 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −7.4, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 3.7.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +3.3 after Week 3 (L 17-27 at Missouri) and −3.0 after Week 7 (L 6-33 at Louisiana).
  • Its record is 4-5. The 5 losses were to No. 20 Missouri, No. 80 Louisiana Tech, No. 86 Utah State, No. 88 Louisiana, No. 135 UL Monroe, by 15.8 points on average. The 4 wins came by 11.0 points on average; the best was over No. 51 James Madison. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 90 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 111 Stanford (−11.0); just below is No. 113 Kennesaw State (−11.6).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Gerad Parker is in his 3rd season at Troy (since 2024). This season: 4-5. At Troy overall: 16-19, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts143-263
Passing yards1629
Touchdowns-interceptions10-6
Yards per attempt*6.2No. 127 of 138
Explosive pass rate8.3%No. 119 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)5.8%No. 78 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards363-1598
Yards per carry4.4No. 70 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)13.8%No. 72 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)15.9%No. 50 of 138

Scoring

Points per game22.3No. 107 of 138
Yards per play5.24No. 114 of 138
Third-down rate31.3%No. 130 of 138
Red-zone TD rate62.5%No. 61 of 138
Giveaways15No. 124 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game26.2No. 84 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.43No. 58 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed6.6No. 40 of 138
Yards per carry allowed3.9No. 62 of 138
Sack rate4.5%No. 100 of 138
Takeaways15No. 25 of 138
Third-down rate allowed35.5%No. 42 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Will Crowder102-183, 1162 yds, 9 TD, 5 INT
  2. Tucker Kilcrease41-79, 467 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

Rushing

  1. Gavin Griffin108 carries, 465 yds, 4 TD
  2. Jordan Lovett85 carries, 413 yds, 1 TD
  3. Jaheim Merriweather72 carries, 389 yds, 5 TD

Receiving

  1. TK Keyes14 catches, 319 yds, 3 TD
  2. Noreel White20 catches, 286 yds, 0 TD
  3. Howard Kinchen18 catches, 237 yds, 2 TD

Tackles

  1. Keno Jones71
  2. Justin Powe67
  3. Jordan Perry51

Sacks

  1. Donnie Smith7
  2. Delvin Whitaker3
  3. Keno Jones2.5

Interceptions

  1. Justin Powe3
  2. Jabari Strait1
  3. Jamarion Keyes1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Will Crowder7 games183 attempts70%
  2. Tucker KilcreaseMost passes in the last game5 games79 attempts30%

Carrying

  1. Gavin Griffin9 games108 carries40%
  2. Jordan Lovett9 games85 carries32%
  3. Jaheim Merriweather9 games72 carries27%

Catching

  1. Noreel White9 games20 catches14%
  2. Jace Petty9 games19 catches13%
  3. Howard Kinchen6 games18 catches13%
  4. Marquez Dortch6 games17 catches12%

Tackling

  1. Keno Jones9 games71 tackles12%
  2. Justin Powe9 games67 tackles11%
  3. Jordan Perry8 games51 tackles8%
  4. TJ Thompson9 games47 tackles8%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 24–21 vs Sam Houston. The run game struggled: 4.2 yards a carry, 1.1 less than Sam Houston usually allows. The fewest yards a carry it has allowed all season.
  2. Week 2 W 34–17 vs Alabama State. Alabama State is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  3. Week 3 L 17–27 at Missouri. The pass defense was the strength: Missouri got 4.5 yards an attempt, 3.0 under what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  4. Week 4 L 10–21 at Utah State. The run game was the strength: 5.5 yards a carry, 2.1 more than Utah State usually allows. The most yards a carry it has allowed all season.
  5. Week 6 W 55–34 vs Southern Miss. The pass defense gave ground: Southern Miss got 10.0 yards an attempt, 4.0 over what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 3.
  6. Week 7 L 6–33 at Louisiana. The pass defense was the strength: Louisiana got 4.7 yards an attempt, 3.3 under what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  7. Week 8 L 14–21 vs UL Monroe. The passing game struggled: 3.4 yards an attempt, 5.0 less than UL Monroe usually allows. The machine had Troy by 18.7 (88%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
  8. Week 9 W 24–21 at James Madison. The pass defense was the strength: James Madison got 5.8 yards an attempt, 2.3 under what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 4.
  9. Week 10 L 17–41 vs Louisiana Tech. The run game struggled: 1.5 yards a carry, 2.3 less than Louisiana Tech usually allows. Lost the turnover battle by 3.

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