Missouri

SEC · 6-3CFP 22

Missouri is 6-3, No. 22 in the CFP rankings, and No. 20 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 13.7 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: lost 34-20 vs Texas in Week 10. The machine gives Missouri a 6% chance to make the playoff.

Week 11: at Georgia, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 20of all FBS teams
Rating now13.713.7 points better than an average FBS team
Since July+1.5from 12.2 in the preseason rating
Playoff chance6%of the machine's simulated seasons

Why Missouri is No. 20

  • Missouri's rating is 13.7: the machine's estimate that Missouri is 13.7 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 20 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 12.2, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 1.5.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +5.2 after Week 5 (W 45-17 vs Florida) and −3.0 after Week 3 (W 27-17 vs Troy).
  • Its record is 6-3. The 3 losses were to No. 4 Texas, No. 8 Ole Miss, No. 44 Mississippi State, by 16.3 points on average. The 6 wins came by 23.3 points on average; the best was over No. 14 Texas A&M. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 37 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 19 USC (14.3); just below is No. 21 Texas Tech (13.3).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Eli Drinkwitz is in his 7th season at Missouri (since 2020). This season: 6-3. At Missouri overall: 52-32, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts183-299
Passing yards2292
Touchdowns-interceptions18-2
Yards per attempt*7.7No. 59 of 138
Explosive pass rate12.1%No. 34 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)2.3%No. 9 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards314-1446
Yards per carry4.6No. 51 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)12.6%No. 99 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)19.2%No. 99 of 138

Scoring

Points per game30.2No. 53 of 138
Yards per play6.16No. 42 of 138
Third-down rate39.1%No. 79 of 138
Red-zone TD rate44.4%No. 125 of 138
Giveaways6No. 16 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game20.1No. 34 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.03No. 32 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed6.7No. 43 of 138
Yards per carry allowed3.0No. 16 of 138
Sack rate5.5%No. 79 of 138
Takeaways15No. 23 of 138
Third-down rate allowed38.7%No. 72 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Austin Simmons174-282, 2187 yds, 18 TD, 2 INT
  2. Matt Zollers8-14, 87 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Jamal Roberts209 carries, 1071 yds, 9 TD
  2. Xai'Shaun Edwards39 carries, 146 yds, 1 TD
  3. Preston Hatfield6 carries, 46 yds, 1 TD

Receiving

  1. Cayden Lee60 catches, 809 yds, 5 TD
  2. Donovan Olugbode44 catches, 633 yds, 7 TD
  3. Naeshaun Montgomery15 catches, 236 yds, 1 TD

Tackles

  1. Nicholas Rodriguez93
  2. Santana Banner76
  3. Robert Woodyard Jr.47

Sacks

  1. Daeden Hopkins7
  2. Donta Simpson5
  3. Jason Dowell2

Interceptions

  1. Trajen Greco3
  2. Elijah Dotson1
  3. Jahlil Florence1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Austin SimmonsMost passes in the last game9 games282 attempts94%
  2. Matt Zollers3 games14 attempts5%

Carrying

  1. Jamal Roberts9 games209 carries76%
  2. Xai'Shaun Edwards7 games39 carries14%
  3. Anthony Favrow1 game8 carries3%
  4. Preston Hatfield2 games6 carries2%

Catching

  1. Cayden Lee9 games60 catches33%
  2. Donovan Olugbode8 games44 catches24%
  3. Jamal Roberts7 games16 catches9%
  4. Naeshaun Montgomery8 games15 catches8%

Tackling

  1. Nicholas Rodriguez9 games93 tackles15%
  2. Santana Banner9 games76 tackles12%
  3. Robert Woodyard Jr.9 games47 tackles8%
  4. Kensley Louidor-Faustin8 games38 tackles6%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 54–14 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  2. Week 2 W 38–21 at Kansas. The run defense was the strength: Kansas got 2.2 yards a carry, 2.7 under what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  3. Week 3 W 27–17 vs Troy. The run defense was the strength: Troy got 2.3 yards a carry, 2.2 under what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  4. Week 4 L 24–31 at Mississippi State. The pass defense gave ground: Mississippi State got 9.5 yards an attempt, 2.1 over what it usually gains. The most yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  5. Week 5 W 45–17 vs Florida. The passing game was the strength: 11.3 yards an attempt, 4.4 more than Florida usually allows. The machine had Florida by 8.6 (70%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  6. Week 6 W 27–6 vs Texas A&M. The run defense was the strength: Texas A&M got 1.3 yards a carry, 2.8 under what it usually gains. The machine had Texas A&M by 0.9 (52%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  7. Week 7 L 3–31 at Ole Miss. The run game struggled: 1.5 yards a carry, 3.0 less than Ole Miss usually allows. Its fewest yards a carry of the season.
  8. Week 9 W 34–10 at Arkansas. The run defense was the strength: Arkansas got 1.6 yards a carry, 1.9 under what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 3.
  9. Week 10 L 20–34 vs Texas. No unit was far from the usual. The biggest gap was the run game: 3.5 yards a carry, 0.7 more than Texas usually allows.

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