Florida

SEC · 5-4CFP unranked

Florida is 5-4 and No. 15 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 15.3 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: lost 23-7 vs Oklahoma in Week 10. The machine gives Florida a 6% chance to make the playoff.

Week 11: at Kentucky, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 15of all FBS teams
Rating now15.315.3 points better than an average FBS team
Since July+1.7from 13.6 in the preseason rating
Playoff chance6%of the machine's simulated seasons

Why Florida is No. 15

  • Florida's rating is 15.3: the machine's estimate that Florida is 15.3 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 15 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 13.6, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 1.7.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −4.8 after Week 5 (L 17-45 at Missouri) and +3.4 after Week 4 (W 52-28 vs Ole Miss).
  • Its record is 5-4. The 4 losses were to No. 1 Georgia, No. 11 South Carolina, No. 16 Oklahoma, No. 20 Missouri, by 20.5 points on average. The 5 wins came by 25.2 points on average; the best was over No. 4 Texas. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 25 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 14 Texas A&M (16.5); just below is No. 16 Oklahoma (15.1).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Jon Sumrall is in his 1st season at Florida. This season: 5-4.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts184-268
Passing yards2127
Touchdowns-interceptions13-10
Yards per attempt*8.0No. 39 of 138
Explosive pass rate10.6%No. 67 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)5.3%No. 68 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards339-1484
Yards per carry4.4No. 63 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)13.1%No. 82 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)19.9%No. 106 of 138

Scoring

Points per game32.4No. 39 of 138
Yards per play5.99No. 50 of 138
Third-down rate42.0%No. 49 of 138
Red-zone TD rate70.3%No. 26 of 138
Giveaways13No. 93 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game27.6No. 97 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.50No. 68 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.0No. 62 of 138
Yards per carry allowed4.0No. 64 of 138
Sack rate6.2%No. 53 of 138
Takeaways10No. 77 of 138
Third-down rate allowed45.2%No. 124 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Aaron Philo110-156, 1367 yds, 9 TD, 5 INT
  2. Tramell Jones Jr.73-111, 712 yds, 4 TD, 5 INT

Rushing

  1. Jadan Baugh160 carries, 836 yds, 14 TD
  2. Duke Clark42 carries, 293 yds, 3 TD
  3. Aaron Philo44 carries, 104 yds, 3 TD

Receiving

  1. Dallas Wilson35 catches, 465 yds, 3 TD
  2. Bailey Stockton36 catches, 373 yds, 2 TD
  3. Vernell Brown III17 catches, 271 yds, 2 TD

Tackles

  1. Myles Graham71
  2. Aaron Chiles52
  3. DJ Coleman39

Sacks

  1. Emmanuel Oybadejo4.5
  2. Jayden Woods4.5
  3. Myles Graham4

Interceptions

  1. DJ Coleman2
  2. Cormani Mcclain1
  3. Dijon Johnson1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Aaron Philo7 games156 attempts58%
  2. Tramell Jones Jr.Most passes in the last game7 games111 attempts41%

Carrying

  1. Jadan Baugh9 games160 carries63%
  2. Duke Clark7 games42 carries17%
  3. Evan Pryor7 games19 carries7%
  4. London Montgomery6 games13 carries5%

Catching

  1. Bailey Stockton9 games36 catches20%
  2. Dallas Wilson9 games35 catches19%
  3. Vernell Brown III4 games17 catches9%
  4. Eric Singleton Jr.5 games14 catches8%

Tackling

  1. Myles Graham9 games71 tackles12%
  2. Aaron Chiles9 games52 tackles9%
  3. DJ Coleman8 games39 tackles7%
  4. Jayden Woods9 games36 tackles6%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 66–21 vs Florida Atlantic. The passing game was the strength: 13.2 yards an attempt, 5.2 more than Florida Atlantic usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  2. Week 2 W 52–3 vs Campbell. Campbell is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  3. Week 3 W 44–39 at Auburn. The passing game was the strength: 11.0 yards an attempt, 4.2 more than Auburn usually allows. The defense had 7 sacks.
  4. Week 4 W 52–28 vs Ole Miss. The run game was the strength: 5.7 yards a carry, 1.7 more than Ole Miss usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  5. Week 5 L 17–45 at Missouri. The pass defense gave ground: Missouri got 11.3 yards an attempt, 4.5 over what it usually gains. The machine had Florida by 8.6 (70%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
  6. Week 6 L 19–38 vs South Carolina. The run defense was the strength: South Carolina got 3.1 yards a carry, 2.1 under what it usually gains. The machine had Florida by 5.4 (64%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Florida lost the turnover battle by 3.
  7. Week 7 W 27–24 at Texas. The passing game struggled: 4.4 yards an attempt, 1.2 less than Texas usually allows. The machine had Texas by 14.2 (81%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  8. Week 9 L 8–27 vs Georgia (neutral site). The pass defense was the strength: Georgia got 4.5 yards an attempt, 5.1 under what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 3.
  9. Week 10 L 7–23 vs Oklahoma. The run game struggled: 2.8 yards a carry, 0.9 less than Oklahoma usually allows. The machine had Florida by 5.3 (64%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Florida lost the turnover battle by 2.

How to read this