Oklahoma

SEC · 5-4CFP unranked

Oklahoma is 5-4 and No. 16 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 15.1 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 23-7 at Florida in Week 10. The machine gives Oklahoma a 10% chance to make the playoff.

Week 11: vs Ole Miss, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 16of all FBS teams
Rating now15.115.1 points better than an average FBS team
Since July−2.7from 17.8 in the preseason rating
Playoff chance10%of the machine's simulated seasons

Why Oklahoma is No. 16

  • Oklahoma's rating is 15.1: the machine's estimate that Oklahoma is 15.1 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 16 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 17.8, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 2.7.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −2.6 after Week 9 (L 25-42 vs South Carolina) and +2.2 after Week 1 (W 51-0 vs UTEP).
  • Its record is 5-4. The 4 losses were to No. 1 Georgia, No. 11 South Carolina, No. 33 Kentucky, No. 36 Michigan, by 15.0 points on average. The 5 wins came by 17.2 points on average; the best was over No. 4 Texas. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 37 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 15 Florida (15.3); just below is No. 17 Iowa (15.1).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Brent Venables is in his 5th season at Oklahoma (since 2022). This season: 5-4. At Oklahoma overall: 37-24, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts184-284
Passing yards2048
Touchdowns-interceptions15-8
Yards per attempt*7.2No. 82 of 138
Explosive pass rate10.0%No. 80 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)6.3%No. 93 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards309-998
Yards per carry3.2No. 132 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)7.6%No. 137 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)19.1%No. 98 of 138

Scoring

Points per game22.1No. 108 of 138
Yards per play5.18No. 117 of 138
Third-down rate39.1%No. 80 of 138
Red-zone TD rate42.9%No. 131 of 138
Giveaways15No. 121 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game19.2No. 26 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.08No. 35 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.0No. 64 of 138
Yards per carry allowed3.6No. 38 of 138
Sack rate11.0%No. 3 of 138
Takeaways13No. 43 of 138
Third-down rate allowed27.7%No. 4 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. John Mateer183-280, 2042 yds, 15 TD, 7 INT

Rushing

  1. Lloyd Avant92 carries, 394 yds, 2 TD
  2. John Mateer100 carries, 201 yds, 0 TD
  3. Tory Blaylock42 carries, 178 yds, 0 TD

Receiving

  1. Isaiah Sategna49 catches, 625 yds, 4 TD
  2. Rocky Beers38 catches, 518 yds, 4 TD
  3. Manny Choice15 catches, 165 yds, 1 TD

Tackles

  1. Owen Heinecke75
  2. Reggie Powers III43
  3. Peyton Bowen42

Sacks

  1. Adepoju Adebawore4
  2. Owen Heinecke3.5
  3. Jake Kreul3

Interceptions

  1. Peyton Bowen3
  2. Courtland Guillory2
  3. Kip Lewis1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. John MateerMost passes in the last game9 games280 attempts99%

Carrying

  1. Lloyd Avant9 games92 carries45%
  2. Tory Blaylock8 games42 carries21%
  3. Jonathan Hatton Jr.8 games35 carries17%
  4. Xavier Robinson4 games13 carries6%

Catching

  1. Isaiah Sategna9 games49 catches27%
  2. Rocky Beers9 games38 catches21%
  3. Manny Choice6 games15 catches8%
  4. Lloyd Avant8 games12 catches7%

Tackling

  1. Owen Heinecke9 games75 tackles13%
  2. Reggie Powers III9 games43 tackles7%
  3. Peyton Bowen9 games42 tackles7%
  4. Kip Lewis7 games37 tackles6%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 51–0 vs UTEP. The passing game was the strength: 12.2 yards an attempt, 4.0 more than UTEP usually allows. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  2. Week 2 L 10–17 at Michigan. No unit was far from the usual. The biggest gap was the run game: 3.4 yards a carry, 0.5 more than Michigan usually allows. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  3. Week 3 W 14–6 vs New Mexico. The run defense was the strength: New Mexico got 1.8 yards a carry, 3.2 under what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 3.
  4. Week 4 L 13–41 at Georgia. The pass defense was the strength: Georgia got 6.7 yards an attempt, 2.6 under what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  5. Week 6 W 27–24 vs Texas (neutral site). No unit was far from the usual. The biggest gap was the passing game: 6.0 yards an attempt, 0.6 more than Texas usually allows. The machine had Texas by 11.2 (76%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Oklahoma won the turnover battle by 2.
  6. Week 7 L 13–21 vs Kentucky. The run defense was the strength: Kentucky got 2.8 yards a carry, 1.9 under what it usually gains. The machine had Oklahoma by 9.6 (73%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Oklahoma lost the turnover battle by 4.
  7. Week 8 W 23–15 at Mississippi State. The passing game was the strength: 9.4 yards an attempt, 2.0 more than Mississippi State usually allows. Its most yards a carry of the season.
  8. Week 9 L 25–42 vs South Carolina. The pass defense gave ground: South Carolina got 11.4 yards an attempt, 3.9 over what it usually gains. The machine had Oklahoma by 3.5 (60%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Oklahoma won the turnover battle by 3.
  9. Week 10 W 23–7 at Florida. The pass defense was the strength: Florida got 6.0 yards an attempt, 1.9 under what it usually gains. The machine had Florida by 5.3 (64%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Oklahoma won the turnover battle by 2.

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