Texas
Texas is 7-2, No. 6 in the CFP rankings, and No. 4 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 25.7 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 34-20 at Missouri in Week 10. The machine gives Texas a 98% chance to make the playoff.
Week 11: at LSU, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit
Why Texas is No. 4
- Texas's rating is 25.7: the machine's estimate that Texas is 25.7 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 4 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
- It started the season at 26.9, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 1.2.
- The biggest weekly moves: +3.1 after Week 1 (W 59-7 vs Texas State) and −2.2 after Week 3 (W 30-6 vs UTSA).
- Its record is 7-2. The 2 losses were to No. 15 Florida, No. 16 Oklahoma, by 3.0 points on average. The 7 wins came by 18.4 points on average; the best was over No. 7 Ohio State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
- Its FBS opponents so far average No. 29 in the machine's ratings.
- Just above is No. 3 LSU (25.8); just below is No. 5 Notre Dame (25.0).
The rating, week by week
Strengths and weak spots
Head coach
Steve Sarkisian is in his 6th season at Texas (since 2021). This season: 7-2. At Texas overall: 55-22, counting this season.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Team stats
Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.
Passing
| Completions-attempts | 177-265 |
|---|---|
| Passing yards | 2090 |
| Touchdowns-interceptions | 18-7 |
| Yards per attempt* | 7.8No. 50 of 138 |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.4%No. 93 of 138 |
| Sacks allowed (rate) | 8.0%No. 119 of 138 |
Rushing
| Carries-yards | 328-1178 |
|---|---|
| Yards per carry | 3.6No. 120 of 138 |
| 10-plus-yard runs (rate) | 14.0%No. 67 of 138 |
| Stuffed at or behind the line (rate) | 19.7%No. 105 of 138 |
Scoring
| Points per game | 31.1No. 48 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play | 5.58No. 96 of 138 |
| Third-down rate | 40.3%No. 67 of 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.8%No. 65 of 138 |
| Giveaways | 14No. 114 of 138 |
Defense
| Points allowed per game | 17.4No. 19 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play allowed | 4.19No. 2 of 138 |
| Yards per pass attempt allowed | 5.5No. 3 of 138 |
| Yards per carry allowed | 2.9No. 12 of 138 |
| Sack rate | 7.5%No. 23 of 138 |
| Takeaways | 10No. 88 of 138 |
| Third-down rate allowed | 31.7%No. 21 of 138 |
Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Player leaders
The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).
Passing
- Arch Manning169-255, 2027 yds, 18 TD, 7 INT
- Karle Lacey Jr.8-9, 63 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
Rushing
- Raleek Brown109 carries, 537 yds, 6 TD
- Daylan Smothers69 carries, 283 yds, 2 TD
- Michael Terry III25 carries, 118 yds, 1 TD
Receiving
- Ryan Wingo42 catches, 523 yds, 4 TD
- Emmett Mosley V30 catches, 504 yds, 1 TD
- Cam Coleman22 catches, 395 yds, 7 TD
Tackles
- Jelani McDonald67
- Rasheem Biles67
- Justin Cryer52
Sacks
- Colin Simmons10
- Rasheem Biles4
- Maraad Watson3
Interceptions
- Rasheem Biles3
- Graceson Littleton1
- Jelani McDonald1
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Who's playing
Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.
Throwing
- Arch ManningMost passes in the last game9 games255 attempts97%
- Karle Lacey Jr.3 games9 attempts3%
Carrying
- Raleek Brown9 games109 carries44%
- Daylan Smothers6 games69 carries28%
- Derrek Cooper6 games31 carries13%
- Michael Terry III5 games25 carries10%
Catching
- Ryan Wingo9 games42 catches24%
- Emmett Mosley V9 games30 catches17%
- Cam Coleman8 games22 catches12%
- Jermaine Bishop Jr.8 games20 catches11%
Tackling
- Jelani McDonald9 games67 tackles11%
- Rasheem Biles9 games67 tackles11%
- Justin Cryer9 games52 tackles9%
- Derek Williams Jr.9 games41 tackles7%
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
The season, week by week
- Week 1 W 59–7 vs Texas State. The passing game was the strength: 10.6 yards an attempt, 3.6 more than Texas State usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 2 W 24–23 vs Ohio State. The run defense was the strength: Ohio State got 3.0 yards a carry, 1.1 under what it usually gains. The most yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
- Week 3 W 30–6 vs UTSA. The pass defense was the strength: UTSA got 3.2 yards an attempt, 4.4 under what it usually gains. Its fewest yards an attempt of the season.
- Week 4 W 20–17 at Tennessee. The passing game was the strength: 10.6 yards an attempt, 4.9 more than Tennessee usually allows. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 6 L 24–27 vs Oklahoma (neutral site). The passing game was the strength: 8.4 yards an attempt, 1.6 more than Oklahoma usually allows. The machine had Texas by 11.2 (76%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Texas lost the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 7 L 24–27 vs Florida. The pass defense was the strength: Florida got 4.4 yards an attempt, 3.9 under what it usually gains. The machine had Texas by 14.2 (81%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
- Week 8 W 34–27 vs Ole Miss. The pass defense was the strength: Ole Miss got 4.8 yards an attempt, 2.7 under what it usually gains. Its most yards a carry of the season.
- Week 9 W 31–3 vs Mississippi State. The run defense was the strength: Mississippi State got 1.7 yards a carry, 2.8 under what it usually gains. The defense had 7 sacks.
- Week 10 W 34–20 at Missouri. The pass defense was the strength: Missouri got 5.8 yards an attempt, 1.7 under what it usually gains.