Tennessee

SEC · 7-2CFP 8

Tennessee is 7-2, No. 8 in the CFP rankings, and No. 10 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 18.6 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 34-6 vs Kentucky in Week 10. The machine gives Tennessee a 54% chance to make the playoff.

Week 11: at Texas A&M, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 10of all FBS teams
Rating now18.618.6 points better than an average FBS team
Since July+3.5from 15.1 in the preseason rating
Playoff chance54%of the machine's simulated seasons

Why Tennessee is No. 10

  • Tennessee's rating is 18.6: the machine's estimate that Tennessee is 18.6 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 10 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 15.1, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 3.5.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +1.6 after Week 7 (W 26-10 vs Alabama) and +1.4 after Week 2 (W 45-24 at Georgia Tech).
  • Its record is 7-2. The 2 losses were to No. 4 Texas, No. 11 South Carolina, by 3.0 points on average. The 7 wins came by 23.1 points on average; the best was over No. 2 Alabama. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 41 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 9 Indiana (19.6); just below is No. 11 South Carolina (18.6).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Josh Heupel is in his 6th season at Tennessee (since 2021). This season: 7-2. At Tennessee overall: 52-22, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts143-222
Passing yards1601
Touchdowns-interceptions10-4
Yards per attempt*7.2No. 84 of 138
Explosive pass rate8.8%No. 108 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)7.1%No. 107 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards389-1944
Yards per carry5.0No. 34 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)15.7%No. 40 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)13.5%No. 17 of 138

Scoring

Points per game32.4No. 42 of 138
Yards per play5.89No. 70 of 138
Third-down rate37.5%No. 91 of 138
Red-zone TD rate72.4%No. 20 of 138
Giveaways11No. 70 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game15.1No. 11 of 138
Yards per play allowed4.78No. 18 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed5.8No. 7 of 138
Yards per carry allowed3.8No. 51 of 138
Sack rate11.8%No. 1 of 138
Takeaways17No. 11 of 138
Third-down rate allowed33.1%No. 27 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. George MacIntyre78-117, 853 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT
  2. Faizon Brandon62-102, 721 yds, 8 TD, 1 INT

Rushing

  1. DeSean Bishop196 carries, 1066 yds, 13 TD
  2. Daune Morris66 carries, 434 yds, 3 TD
  3. Faizon Brandon54 carries, 159 yds, 3 TD

Receiving

  1. Mike Matthews37 catches, 566 yds, 4 TD
  2. Braylon Staley36 catches, 309 yds, 2 TD
  3. Dasaahn Brame15 catches, 184 yds, 0 TD

Tackles

  1. Arion Carter59
  2. Amare Campbell58
  3. TJ Metcalf53

Sacks

  1. Tyree Weathersby7
  2. Xavier Gilliam6
  3. Mariyon Dye5

Interceptions

  1. Dejuan Lane4
  2. Kayin Lee2
  3. Jeremiah Telander1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. George MacIntyreMost passes in the last game7 games117 attempts53%
  2. Faizon Brandon6 games102 attempts46%

Carrying

  1. DeSean Bishop9 games196 carries63%
  2. Daune Morris9 games66 carries21%
  3. Javin Gordon4 games28 carries9%
  4. Hunter Barnes2 games11 carries4%

Catching

  1. Mike Matthews9 games37 catches26%
  2. Braylon Staley9 games36 catches25%
  3. Dasaahn Brame7 games15 catches10%
  4. Radarious Jackson7 games13 catches9%

Tackling

  1. Arion Carter8 games59 tackles10%
  2. Amare Campbell9 games58 tackles10%
  3. TJ Metcalf9 games53 tackles9%
  4. Jeremiah Telander9 games44 tackles8%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 56–9 vs Furman. Furman is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  2. Week 2 W 45–24 at Georgia Tech. The run game was the strength: 6.6 yards a carry, 1.5 more than Georgia Tech usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  3. Week 3 W 42–9 vs Kennesaw State. The run game was the strength: 6.5 yards a carry, 2.5 more than Kennesaw State usually allows.
  4. Week 4 L 17–20 vs Texas. The pass defense gave ground: Texas got 10.6 yards an attempt, 3.0 over what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  5. Week 5 W 24–14 vs Auburn. The passing game struggled: 4.8 yards an attempt, 2.5 less than Auburn usually allows. The fewest yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  6. Week 6 W 24–17 at Arkansas. The run defense gave ground: Arkansas got 3.9 yards a carry, 0.8 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  7. Week 7 W 26–10 vs Alabama. The pass defense was the strength: Alabama got 5.1 yards an attempt, 4.6 under what it usually gains. The machine had Alabama by 7.6 (68%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Tennessee won the turnover battle by 2.
  8. Week 8 L 24–27 at South Carolina. The pass defense was the strength: South Carolina got 6.6 yards an attempt, 1.4 under what it usually gains. The machine had Tennessee by 1.7 (54%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
  9. Week 10 W 34–6 vs Kentucky. The run game was the strength: 6.5 yards a carry, 2.8 more than Kentucky usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 3.

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