The Machine

Georgia Tech

ACC · 2-7CFP unranked

Georgia Tech is 2-7 and No. 74 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 2.9 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 44-17 vs Louisville in Week 10.

Week 11: at Clemson, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 74of all FBS teams
Rating now−2.92.9 points below an average FBS team
Since July−7.1from 4.2 in the preseason rating

Why Georgia Tech is No. 74

  • Georgia Tech's rating is −2.9: the machine's estimate that Georgia Tech is 2.9 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 74 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 4.2, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 7.1.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −2.4 after Week 8 (L 27-49 vs Boston College) and −1.5 after Week 9 (L 11-34 at Pittsburgh).
  • Its record is 2-7. The 7 losses were to No. 10 Tennessee, No. 27 Louisville, No. 45 Pittsburgh, No. 49 Virginia Tech, No. 65 Colorado, No. 71 Boston College, No. 111 Stanford, by 15.9 points on average. The 2 wins came by 18.0 points on average; the best was over No. 28 Duke. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 51 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 73 Maryland (−2.6); just below is No. 75 NC State (−2.9).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Brent Key is in his 5th season at Georgia Tech (since 2022). This season: 2-7. At Georgia Tech overall: 29-27, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts207-314
Passing yards2171
Touchdowns-interceptions13-7
Yards per attempt*7.0No. 93 of 138
Explosive pass rate9.3%No. 95 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)6.9%No. 102 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards274-1068
Yards per carry3.9No. 100 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)16.3%No. 28 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)20.0%No. 107 of 138

Scoring

Points per game23.9No. 98 of 138
Yards per play5.58No. 95 of 138
Third-down rate29.6%No. 137 of 138
Red-zone TD rate44.1%No. 126 of 138
Giveaways12No. 77 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game32.2No. 121 of 138
Yards per play allowed6.10No. 114 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.4No. 87 of 138
Yards per carry allowed5.1No. 123 of 138
Sack rate4.0%No. 112 of 138
Takeaways7No. 125 of 138
Third-down rate allowed40.7%No. 95 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Alberto Mendoza182-265, 1943 yds, 11 TD, 6 INT
  2. Grady Adamson25-46, 228 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

Rushing

  1. Justice Haynes124 carries, 635 yds, 4 TD
  2. Trelain Maddox59 carries, 325 yds, 5 TD
  3. Grady Adamson15 carries, 73 yds, 1 TD

Receiving

  1. Jordan Allen49 catches, 576 yds, 1 TD
  2. Dalen Penson33 catches, 500 yds, 2 TD
  3. Kevin Roche Jr.37 catches, 332 yds, 1 TD

Tackles

  1. Tae Harris58
  2. Taje Mccoy53
  3. Tawfiq Thomas46

Sacks

  1. Noah Carter3
  2. Tawfiq Thomas2.5
  3. Taje Mccoy2

Interceptions

  1. C.J. Gamble1
  2. Trae Stevenson Jr.1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Alberto MendozaMost passes in the last game9 games265 attempts85%
  2. Grady Adamson4 games46 attempts15%

Carrying

  1. Justice Haynes8 games124 carries60%
  2. Trelain Maddox8 games59 carries29%
  3. Malachi Hosley3 games16 carries8%
  4. Chad Alexander2 games7 carries3%

Catching

  1. Jordan Allen9 games49 catches24%
  2. Kevin Roche Jr.9 games37 catches18%
  3. Dalen Penson9 games33 catches16%
  4. Trelain Maddox8 games21 catches10%

Tackling

  1. Tae Harris9 games58 tackles10%
  2. Taje Mccoy9 games53 tackles9%
  3. Tawfiq Thomas8 games46 tackles8%
  4. E.J. Lightsey9 games40 tackles7%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 L 13–14 vs Colorado. The pass defense was the strength: Colorado got 4.1 yards an attempt, 3.5 under what it usually gains. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  2. Week 2 L 24–45 vs Tennessee. The run defense gave ground: Tennessee got 6.6 yards a carry, 2.2 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 2.
  3. Week 3 W 44–11 vs Mercer. Mercer is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  4. Week 4 L 27–34 at Stanford. The pass defense gave ground: Stanford got 11.3 yards an attempt, 4.9 over what it usually gains. The machine had Georgia Tech by 5.7 (64%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Georgia Tech lost the turnover battle by 2.
  5. Week 6 W 28–25 vs Duke. The run game was the strength: 6.1 yards a carry, 3.2 more than Duke usually allows. The machine had Duke by 4.2 (60%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  6. Week 7 L 24–34 at Virginia Tech. The pass defense gave ground: Virginia Tech got 11.4 yards an attempt, 3.9 over what it usually gains. The defense had 5 sacks.
  7. Week 8 L 27–49 vs Boston College. The run defense gave ground: Boston College got 8.5 yards a carry, 4.8 over what it usually gains. The machine had Georgia Tech by 6.1 (66%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Georgia Tech lost the turnover battle by 2.
  8. Week 9 L 11–34 at Pittsburgh. The passing game struggled: 3.3 yards an attempt, 5.4 less than Pittsburgh usually allows. Its fewest yards an attempt of the season.
  9. Week 10 L 17–44 vs Louisville. The passing game struggled: 5.4 yards an attempt, 2.4 less than Louisville usually allows. The offense gave up 5 sacks.

How to read this