The Machine

Stanford

ACC · 4-5CFP unranked

Stanford is 4-5 and No. 111 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 11.0 points below an average FBS team. Last game: lost 52-24 at Louisville in Week 9.

Week 11: at Virginia Tech, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 111of all FBS teams
Rating now−11.011.0 points below an average FBS team
Since July−7.7from −3.3 in the preseason rating

Why Stanford is No. 111

  • Stanford's rating is −11.0: the machine's estimate that Stanford is 11.0 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 111 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −3.3, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 7.7.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −3.9 after Week 5 (L 3-57 at Wake Forest) and −2.9 after Week 3 (L 7-35 at Duke).
  • Its record is 4-5. The 5 losses were to No. 5 Notre Dame, No. 6 Miami, No. 18 Wake Forest, No. 27 Louisville, No. 28 Duke, by 40.0 points on average. The 4 wins came by 11.8 points on average; the best was over No. 74 Georgia Tech. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 42 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 110 UAB (−10.8); just below is No. 112 Troy (−11.1).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Tavita Pritchard is in his 1st season at Stanford. This season: 4-5.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts193-320
Passing yards2249
Touchdowns-interceptions14-4
Yards per attempt*7.0No. 97 of 138
Explosive pass rate8.8%No. 107 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)3.6%No. 27 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards271-994
Yards per carry3.7No. 115 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)8.6%No. 134 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)16.9%No. 65 of 138

Scoring

Points per game20.3No. 119 of 138
Yards per play5.54No. 97 of 138
Third-down rate31.2%No. 131 of 138
Red-zone TD rate60.9%No. 71 of 138
Giveaways8No. 32 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game37.3No. 136 of 138
Yards per play allowed6.74No. 132 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.8No. 113 of 138
Yards per carry allowed5.7No. 135 of 138
Sack rate2.3%No. 137 of 138
Takeaways8No. 120 of 138
Third-down rate allowed49.6%No. 134 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

In at least one game this season, the team box score and the player box score disagree by a few plays or yards. The team totals above use the team box score; the player leaders use the player box score.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Davis Warren186-308, 2203 yds, 14 TD, 3 INT
  2. Mike Mitchell Jr.7-10, 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Micah Ford156 carries, 751 yds, 8 TD
  2. Sedrick Irvin50 carries, 192 yds, 0 TD
  3. Caleb Hampton17 carries, 77 yds, 0 TD

Receiving

  1. Caden High33 catches, 419 yds, 4 TD
  2. Nico Brown28 catches, 345 yds, 4 TD
  3. Jonanthony Hall16 catches, 277 yds, 0 TD

Tackles

  1. Jaivion Green56
  2. Sam Mattingly56
  3. Jahsiah Galvan41

Sacks

  1. Gabe Kaminski2
  2. Omar Staples1.5
  3. Connor Bachhuber1

Interceptions

  1. Brandon Nicholson1
  2. Charlie Eckhardt1
  3. Darrius Davis1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Davis WarrenMost passes in the last game9 games308 attempts96%
  2. Mike Mitchell Jr.4 games10 attempts3%

Carrying

  1. Micah Ford9 games156 carries66%
  2. Sedrick Irvin9 games50 carries21%
  3. Caleb Hampton7 games17 carries7%
  4. Chris Davis Jr.4 games8 carries3%

Catching

  1. Caden High8 games33 catches17%
  2. Benjamin Blackburn9 games31 catches16%
  3. Nico Brown7 games28 catches15%
  4. Micah Ford9 games26 catches13%

Tackling

  1. Jaivion Green9 games56 tackles10%
  2. Sam Mattingly9 games56 tackles10%
  3. Jahsiah Galvan7 games41 tackles7%
  4. Matt Rose4 games38 tackles6%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 37–27 vs Hawai'i. The passing game was the strength: 9.1 yards an attempt, 1.9 more than Hawai'i usually allows. The fewest yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  2. Week 1 L 6–45 vs Miami. The pass defense gave ground: Miami got 12.2 yards an attempt, 3.3 over what it usually gains. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  3. Week 3 L 7–35 at Duke. The passing game struggled: 4.4 yards an attempt, 2.2 less than Duke usually allows. Its fewest yards an attempt of the season.
  4. Week 4 W 34–27 vs Georgia Tech. The passing game was the strength: 11.3 yards an attempt, 4.7 more than Georgia Tech usually allows. The machine had Georgia Tech by 5.7 (64%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Stanford won the turnover battle by 2.
  5. Week 5 L 3–57 at Wake Forest. The run game struggled: 1.4 yards a carry, 1.5 less than Wake Forest usually allows. Its fewest yards a carry of the season.
  6. Week 6 L 7–58 at Notre Dame. The run defense gave ground: Notre Dame got 7.7 yards a carry, 3.2 over what it usually gains. Lost the turnover battle by 3.
  7. Week 7 W 34–7 vs Elon. Elon is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  8. Week 8 W 31–28 vs NC State. The pass defense gave ground: NC State got 8.3 yards an attempt, 1.5 over what it usually gains. The machine had NC State by 9.3 (72%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  9. Week 9 L 24–52 at Louisville. The run defense gave ground: Louisville got 9.0 yards a carry, 3.1 over what it usually gains. The most yards a carry it has allowed all season.

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