The Machine

Hawai'i

Mountain West · 3-6CFP unranked

Hawai'i is 3-6 and No. 104 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 10.3 points below an average FBS team. Last game: won 17-14 at UTEP in Week 10.

Week 11: vs North Dakota State, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 104of all FBS teams
Rating now−10.310.3 points below an average FBS team
Since July−7.9from −2.4 in the preseason rating

Why Hawai'i is No. 104

  • Hawai'i's rating is −10.3: the machine's estimate that Hawai'i is 10.3 points worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 104 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at −2.4, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 7.9.
  • The biggest weekly moves: −3.9 after Week 1 (L 27-37 at Stanford) and −2.7 after Week 4 (L 10-27 at Wyoming).
  • Its record is 3-6. The 6 losses were to No. 48 New Mexico, No. 68 Arizona State, No. 91 UNLV, No. 103 Wyoming, No. 111 Stanford, No. 116 San José State, by 12.5 points on average. The 3 wins came by 16.0 points on average; the best was over No. 121 New Mexico State. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 103 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 103 Wyoming (−9.9); just below is No. 105 Temple (−10.6).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Timmy Chang is in his 5th season at Hawai'i (since 2022). This season: 3-6. At Hawai'i overall: 25-35, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts231-388
Passing yards2506
Touchdowns-interceptions11-7
Yards per attempt*6.4No. 117 of 138
Explosive pass rate8.6%No. 110 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)4.9%No. 56 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards258-838
Yards per carry3.2No. 131 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)11.6%No. 111 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)21.0%No. 121 of 138

Scoring

Points per game20.3No. 118 of 138
Yards per play5.22No. 116 of 138
Third-down rate40.6%No. 62 of 138
Red-zone TD rate44.1%No. 127 of 138
Giveaways11No. 63 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game23.3No. 57 of 138
Yards per play allowed6.06No. 112 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.5No. 93 of 138
Yards per carry allowed4.9No. 115 of 138
Sack rate4.3%No. 106 of 138
Takeaways12No. 52 of 138
Third-down rate allowed36.1%No. 52 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

In at least one game this season, the team box score and the player box score disagree by a few plays or yards. The team totals above use the team box score; the player leaders use the player box score.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Micah Alejado228-377, 2489 yds, 10 TD, 7 INT
  2. Bjorn Jurgensen3-8, 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Devon Rice92 carries, 444 yds, 6 TD
  2. Cam Barfield60 carries, 214 yds, 1 TD
  3. Sitani Mikaele33 carries, 123 yds, 2 TD

Receiving

  1. Kainoa Carvalho38 catches, 421 yds, 0 TD
  2. Audric Harris20 catches, 409 yds, 1 TD
  3. Devin Alves18 catches, 329 yds, 1 TD

Tackles

  1. Jamih Otis63
  2. Kona Moore51
  3. Wynden Ho'Ohuli51

Sacks

  1. Julian Smith2
  2. Wynden Ho'Ohuli2
  3. Noah Wily1.5

Interceptions

  1. Jeremiah Hughes3
  2. Jamih Otis1
  3. Jaylon Edmond1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Micah AlejadoMost passes in the last game9 games377 attempts98%
  2. Bjorn Jurgensen4 games8 attempts2%

Carrying

  1. Devon Rice9 games92 carries46%
  2. Cam Barfield7 games60 carries30%
  3. Sitani Mikaele7 games33 carries16%
  4. Tama Uiliata5 games8 carries4%

Catching

  1. Kainoa Carvalho9 games38 catches16%
  2. Titan Lacaden9 games37 catches16%
  3. Tama Uiliata8 games33 catches14%
  4. Audric Harris8 games20 catches9%

Tackling

  1. Jamih Otis9 games63 tackles12%
  2. Kona Moore7 games51 tackles10%
  3. Wynden Ho'Ohuli9 games51 tackles10%
  4. Elijah Palmer9 games47 tackles9%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 L 27–37 at Stanford. The run game struggled: 2.1 yards a carry, 3.8 less than Stanford usually allows. The most yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  2. Week 1 L 6–21 vs UNLV. The passing game struggled: 3.5 yards an attempt, 3.8 less than UNLV usually allows. The offense gave up 5 sacks.
  3. Week 2 W 29–19 vs New Mexico State. The run game struggled: 2.6 yards a carry, 1.4 less than New Mexico State usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  4. Week 4 L 10–27 at Wyoming. The pass defense gave ground: Wyoming got 8.9 yards an attempt, 2.4 over what it usually gains. The machine had Hawai'i by 8.0 (69%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
  5. Week 5 L 16–20 vs San José State. The passing game was the strength: 9.0 yards an attempt, 2.3 more than San José State usually allows. The machine had Hawai'i by 2.0 (56%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Hawai'i lost the turnover battle by 2.
  6. Week 6 L 12–30 at Arizona State. The run defense gave ground: Arizona State got 7.7 yards a carry, 4.7 over what it usually gains. The fewest yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  7. Week 7 L 10–21 vs New Mexico. The run game struggled: 1.8 yards a carry, 0.9 less than New Mexico usually allows. Its fewest yards a carry of the season.
  8. Week 8 W 56–21 at Northern Illinois. The run game struggled: 4.2 yards a carry, 1.5 less than Northern Illinois usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 4.
  9. Week 10 W 17–14 at UTEP. The run defense gave ground: UTEP got 5.8 yards a carry, 2.5 over what it usually gains.

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