Louisville
Louisville is 6-3 and No. 27 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 12.1 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 44-17 at Georgia Tech in Week 10. The machine gives Louisville a 3% chance to make the playoff.
Week 11: at North Carolina, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit
Why Louisville is No. 27
- Louisville's rating is 12.1: the machine's estimate that Louisville is 12.1 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 27 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
- It started the season at 9.5, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 2.6.
- The biggest weekly moves: +3.0 after Week 6 (W 44-20 vs Florida State) and −2.8 after Week 4 (L 27-30 vs Wake Forest).
- Its record is 6-3. The 3 losses were to No. 8 Ole Miss, No. 18 Wake Forest, No. 75 NC State, by 3.0 points on average. The 6 wins came by 23.8 points on average; the best was over No. 25 SMU. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
- Its FBS opponents so far average No. 50 in the machine's ratings.
- Just above is No. 26 Arizona (12.2); just below is No. 28 Duke (11.0).
The rating, week by week
Strengths and weak spots
Head coach
Jeff Brohm is in his 4th season at Louisville (since 2023). This season: 6-3. At Louisville overall: 34-15, counting this season.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Team stats
Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.
Passing
| Completions-attempts | 165-242 |
|---|---|
| Passing yards | 2341 |
| Touchdowns-interceptions | 15-3 |
| Yards per attempt* | 9.7No. 5 of 138 |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.0%No. 9 of 138 |
| Sacks allowed (rate) | 5.1%No. 60 of 138 |
Rushing
| Carries-yards | 324-2052 |
|---|---|
| Yards per carry | 6.3No. 1 of 138 |
| 10-plus-yard runs (rate) | 21.1%No. 1 of 138 |
| Stuffed at or behind the line (rate) | 20.1%No. 109 of 138 |
Scoring
| Points per game | 40.8No. 6 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play | 7.89No. 1 of 138 |
| Third-down rate | 44.4%No. 32 of 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.4%No. 31 of 138 |
| Giveaways | 8No. 27 of 138 |
Defense
| Points allowed per game | 25.9No. 79 of 138 |
|---|---|
| Yards per play allowed | 5.47No. 64 of 138 |
| Yards per pass attempt allowed | 7.2No. 71 of 138 |
| Yards per carry allowed | 3.7No. 45 of 138 |
| Sack rate | 6.2%No. 54 of 138 |
| Takeaways | 15No. 22 of 138 |
| Third-down rate allowed | 31.1%No. 16 of 138 |
Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Player leaders
The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).
Passing
- Lincoln Kienholz158-233, 2276 yds, 14 TD, 3 INT
- Davin Wydner4-5, 42 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
Rushing
- Isaac Brown99 carries, 745 yds, 8 TD
- Keyjuan Brown67 carries, 521 yds, 5 TD
- Lincoln Kienholz89 carries, 394 yds, 11 TD
Receiving
- Tre Richardson44 catches, 685 yds, 3 TD
- Lawayne McCoy25 catches, 513 yds, 4 TD
- Treyshun Hurry39 catches, 474 yds, 2 TD
Tackles
- Stanquan Clark64
- T.J. Capers61
- Kaleb Beasley59
Sacks
- Clev Lubin6.5
- Tyler Thompson5.5
- Benjamin Perry2.5
Interceptions
- Kaleb Beasley5
- Cameron White1
- Jabari Mack1
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
Who's playing
Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.
Throwing
- Lincoln KienholzMost passes in the last game9 games233 attempts97%
- Davin Wydner2 games5 attempts2%
Carrying
- Isaac Brown9 games99 carries45%
- Keyjuan Brown8 games67 carries30%
- Marquise Davis5 games22 carries10%
- Braxton Jennings5 games13 carries6%
Catching
- Tre Richardson9 games44 catches27%
- Treyshun Hurry9 games39 catches24%
- Lawayne McCoy7 games25 catches15%
- Jaleel Skinner9 games20 catches12%
Tackling
- Stanquan Clark9 games64 tackles9%
- T.J. Capers9 games61 tackles9%
- Kaleb Beasley9 games59 tackles9%
- Benjamin Perry9 games43 tackles6%
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.
The season, week by week
- Week 1 L 38–41 vs Ole Miss (neutral site). The passing game was the strength: 10.6 yards an attempt, 3.5 more than Ole Miss usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 2 W 59–13 vs Villanova. Villanova is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
- Week 3 W 41–31 vs SMU. The run game was the strength: 7.2 yards a carry, 3.7 more than SMU usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 3.
- Week 4 L 27–30 vs Wake Forest. The passing game was the strength: 9.0 yards an attempt, 3.2 more than Wake Forest usually allows. The machine had Louisville by 11.2 (76%), so this was a loss it did not see coming.
- Week 5 L 28–31 at NC State. The run game was the strength: 9.2 yards a carry, 4.8 more than NC State usually allows. The machine had Louisville by 3.3 (58%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Louisville lost the turnover battle by 2.
- Week 6 W 44–20 vs Florida State. The run game was the strength: 9.2 yards a carry, 5.0 more than Florida State usually allows. The machine had Florida State by 3.6 (59%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
- Week 7 W 34–26 at Syracuse. The passing game was the strength: 11.9 yards an attempt, 4.6 more than Syracuse usually allows. The defense had 5 sacks.
- Week 9 W 52–24 vs Stanford. The run game was the strength: 9.0 yards a carry, 3.9 more than Stanford usually allows. The fewest yards a carry it has allowed all season.
- Week 10 W 44–17 at Georgia Tech. The run game was the strength: 7.0 yards a carry, 1.9 more than Georgia Tech usually allows. The defense had 5 sacks.