The Machine

Auburn

SEC · 5-4CFP unranked

Auburn is 5-4 and No. 37 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 9.6 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 26-23 vs Arkansas in Week 10.

Week 11: at Mississippi State, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 37of all FBS teams
Rating now9.69.6 points better than an average FBS team
Since July−2.4from 12.0 in the preseason rating

Why Auburn is No. 37

  • Auburn's rating is 9.6: the machine's estimate that Auburn is 9.6 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 37 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 12.0, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it down 2.4.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +2.1 after Week 2 (W 43-8 vs Southern Miss) and −1.7 after Week 3 (L 39-44 vs Florida).
  • Its record is 5-4. The 4 losses were to No. 3 LSU, No. 8 Ole Miss, No. 10 Tennessee, No. 15 Florida, by 16.5 points on average. The 5 wins came by 9.6 points on average; the best was over No. 1 Georgia. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 33 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just above is No. 36 Michigan (9.6); just below is No. 38 Houston (9.4).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Alex Golesh is in his 1st season at Auburn. This season: 5-4.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts194-298
Passing yards1903
Touchdowns-interceptions13-7
Yards per attempt*6.3No. 123 of 138
Explosive pass rate7.5%No. 127 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)10.5%No. 134 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards334-1405
Yards per carry4.2No. 77 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)16.6%No. 21 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)16.3%No. 54 of 138

Scoring

Points per game24.3No. 96 of 138
Yards per play5.28No. 112 of 138
Third-down rate42.2%No. 47 of 138
Red-zone TD rate60.0%No. 78 of 138
Giveaways11No. 59 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game26.3No. 86 of 138
Yards per play allowed5.39No. 54 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed7.1No. 65 of 138
Yards per carry allowed3.9No. 56 of 138
Sack rate6.6%No. 45 of 138
Takeaways14No. 26 of 138
Third-down rate allowed41.4%No. 103 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Byrum Brown181-280, 1737 yds, 11 TD, 7 INT
  2. Tristan Ti'a11-16, 137 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Byrum Brown162 carries, 607 yds, 8 TD
  2. Jeremiah Cobb80 carries, 396 yds, 2 TD
  3. Omar Mabson Ii51 carries, 263 yds, 1 TD

Receiving

  1. Keshaun Singleton45 catches, 491 yds, 3 TD
  2. Chas Nimrod42 catches, 440 yds, 5 TD
  3. Jeremiah Koger14 catches, 230 yds, 0 TD

Tackles

  1. Elijah Melendez67
  2. Kaleb Harris55
  3. Eric Winters53

Sacks

  1. Elijah Melendez4
  2. Jared Smith3.5
  3. Shadarius Toodle3

Interceptions

  1. Anquon Fegans3
  2. Andre Jordan2
  3. Da'Shawn Womack1

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Byrum BrownMost passes in the last game9 games280 attempts94%
  2. Tristan Ti'a4 games16 attempts5%

Carrying

  1. Jeremiah Cobb9 games80 carries50%
  2. Omar Mabson Ii8 games51 carries32%
  3. Bryson Washington5 games21 carries13%

Catching

  1. Keshaun Singleton9 games45 catches23%
  2. Chas Nimrod9 games42 catches22%
  3. Christian Neptune5 games18 catches9%
  4. Jeremiah Koger7 games14 catches7%

Tackling

  1. Elijah Melendez9 games67 tackles11%
  2. Kaleb Harris9 games55 tackles9%
  3. Eric Winters9 games53 tackles9%
  4. Bryce Deas7 games39 tackles7%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 17–16 vs Baylor (neutral site). The run defense was the strength: Baylor got 2.3 yards a carry, 1.8 under what it usually gains. The offense gave up 5 sacks.
  2. Week 2 W 43–8 vs Southern Miss. The run defense was the strength: Southern Miss got 2.0 yards a carry, 2.5 under what it usually gains. Its most yards an attempt of the season.
  3. Week 3 L 39–44 vs Florida. The pass defense gave ground: Florida got 11.0 yards an attempt, 3.6 over what it usually gains. The offense gave up 7 sacks.
  4. Week 4 W 21–15 vs Vanderbilt. The passing game struggled: 5.2 yards an attempt, 2.5 less than Vanderbilt usually allows.
  5. Week 5 L 14–24 at Tennessee. The run game was the strength: 5.8 yards a carry, 2.4 more than Tennessee usually allows. Its fewest yards an attempt of the season.
  6. Week 7 W 27–24 at Georgia. The run defense was the strength: Georgia got 4.0 yards a carry, 1.7 under what it usually gains. The machine had Georgia by 19.5 (89%), so this was a win it did not see coming; Auburn won the turnover battle by 3.
  7. Week 8 L 17–38 vs LSU. The run defense gave ground: LSU got 4.9 yards a carry, 1.1 over what it usually gains. The offense gave up 7 sacks.
  8. Week 9 L 15–45 at Ole Miss. The run game struggled: 2.3 yards a carry, 2.1 less than Ole Miss usually allows.
  9. Week 10 W 26–23 vs Arkansas. The passing game struggled: 5.3 yards an attempt, 2.8 less than Arkansas usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.

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