Georgia

SEC · 8-1CFP 1

Georgia is 8-1, No. 1 in the CFP rankings, and No. 1 of 138 in the machine's ratings, 29.2 points better than an average FBS team. Last game: won 42-7 at Ole Miss in Week 10. The machine gives Georgia a >99% chance to make the playoff.

Week 11: vs Missouri, Saturday, Nov 14: the matchup, unit by unit

Machine rankNo. 1of all FBS teams
Rating now29.229.2 points better than an average FBS team
Since July+4.4from 24.8 in the preseason rating
Playoff chance>99%of the machine's simulated seasons

Why Georgia is No. 1

  • Georgia's rating is 29.2: the machine's estimate that Georgia is 29.2 points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field. That is No. 1 of 138. For scale, 0 is an average FBS team: right now the closest to it is No. 68 Arizona State (0.2).
  • It started the season at 24.8, ESPN's preseason Football Power Index from July. Its results since have moved it up 4.4.
  • The biggest weekly moves: +2.5 after Week 10 (W 42-7 at Ole Miss) and +2.0 after Week 4 (W 41-13 vs Oklahoma).
  • Its record is 8-1. The loss was to No. 37 Auburn, by 3 points. The 8 wins came by 30.9 points on average; the best was over No. 2 Alabama. The rating weighs how much a team won or lost by and against whom, not just the win-loss count.
  • Its FBS opponents so far average No. 39 in the machine's ratings.
  • Just below is No. 2 Alabama (26.7).

The rating, week by week

Strengths and weak spots

Head coach

Kirby Smart is in his 11th season at Georgia (since 2016). This season: 8-1. At Georgia overall: 125-22, counting this season.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Team stats

Season totals and averages over 9 games, each with its national rank among 138 FBS teams (No. 1 = best). The game-by-game story is in the season, week by week.

Passing

Completions-attempts163-235
Passing yards2192
Touchdowns-interceptions23-4
Yards per attempt*9.4No. 11 of 138
Explosive pass rate14.0%No. 17 of 138
Sacks allowed (rate)4.1%No. 38 of 138

Rushing

Carries-yards321-1896
Yards per carry5.9No. 3 of 138
10-plus-yard runs (rate)16.9%No. 19 of 138
Stuffed at or behind the line (rate)13.4%No. 13 of 138

Scoring

Points per game41.1No. 5 of 138
Yards per play7.43No. 6 of 138
Third-down rate52.4%No. 6 of 138
Red-zone TD rate74.4%No. 12 of 138
Giveaways9No. 40 of 138

Defense

Points allowed per game14.0No. 7 of 138
Yards per play allowed4.32No. 5 of 138
Yards per pass attempt allowed5.7No. 5 of 138
Yards per carry allowed2.7No. 6 of 138
Sack rate7.9%No. 14 of 138
Takeaways17No. 10 of 138
Third-down rate allowed35.9%No. 50 of 138

Totals are the official box score. * Yards per attempt and the rates come from the play-by-play, where passing yards count on completions only, so they can differ from the box score by a play or two.

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders

The top 3 in each category over the same games. Passing yards count every completion (official box score).

Passing

  1. Gunner Stockton139-196, 1857 yds, 20 TD, 4 INT
  2. Ryan Puglisi20-31, 252 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
  3. Ryan Montgomery3-6, 66 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

Rushing

  1. Dwight Phillips Jr.66 carries, 481 yds, 2 TD
  2. Nate Frazier63 carries, 404 yds, 6 TD
  3. Bo Walker44 carries, 272 yds, 1 TD

Receiving

  1. Talyn Taylor25 catches, 426 yds, 6 TD
  2. Craig Dandridge20 catches, 349 yds, 1 TD
  3. Lawson Luckie13 catches, 208 yds, 2 TD

Tackles

  1. Chris Cole58
  2. Raylen Wilson58
  3. Rasean Dinkins41

Sacks

  1. Chris Cole5
  2. Raylen Wilson4
  3. Gabe Harris3

Interceptions

  1. Demello Jones2
  2. Ellis Robinson IV2
  3. KJ Bolden2

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

Who's playing

Based on who has actually played this season, from the box scores, not the team's published depth chart. Each bar is that player's share of the team's attempts, carries (quarterbacks left out), catches or tackles. The box score lists no positions, so there is no offensive line here.

Throwing

  1. Gunner StocktonMost passes in the last game9 games196 attempts83%
  2. Ryan Puglisi5 games31 attempts13%
  3. Ryan Montgomery2 games6 attempts3%

Carrying

  1. Dwight Phillips Jr.9 games66 carries26%
  2. Nate Frazier7 games63 carries25%
  3. Bo Walker8 games44 carries17%
  4. Chauncey Bowens5 games35 carries14%

Catching

  1. Talyn Taylor8 games25 catches15%
  2. Craig Dandridge8 games20 catches12%
  3. Sacovie White6 games15 catches9%
  4. London Humphreys6 games14 catches9%

Tackling

  1. Chris Cole9 games58 tackles11%
  2. Raylen Wilson8 games58 tackles11%
  3. Rasean Dinkins9 games41 tackles8%
  4. Justin Williams9 games32 tackles6%

Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com.

The season, week by week

  1. Week 1 W 63–3 vs Tennessee State. Tennessee State is an FCS team, so there is no FBS baseline to grade this one against.
  2. Week 2 W 70–20 vs Western Kentucky. The passing game was the strength: 10.4 yards an attempt, 2.9 more than Western Kentucky usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  3. Week 3 W 45–17 at Arkansas. The run defense was the strength: Arkansas got 0.8 yards a carry, 2.6 under what it usually gains. The fewest yards a carry it has allowed all season.
  4. Week 4 W 41–13 vs Oklahoma. The run game was the strength: 5.0 yards a carry, 1.5 more than Oklahoma usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.
  5. Week 5 W 38–14 vs Vanderbilt. The passing game was the strength: 9.2 yards an attempt, 2.0 more than Vanderbilt usually allows. The most yards an attempt it has allowed all season.
  6. Week 6 W 20–17 at Alabama. The passing game was the strength: 11.3 yards an attempt, 3.9 more than Alabama usually allows. The machine had Alabama by 2.6 (57%), so this was a win it did not see coming.
  7. Week 7 L 24–27 vs Auburn. The passing game was the strength: 8.8 yards an attempt, 1.9 more than Auburn usually allows. The machine had Georgia by 19.5 (89%), so this was a loss it did not see coming; Georgia lost the turnover battle by 3.
  8. Week 9 W 27–8 vs Florida (neutral site). The passing game struggled: 4.5 yards an attempt, 3.2 less than Florida usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 3.
  9. Week 10 W 42–7 at Ole Miss. The passing game was the strength: 12.4 yards an attempt, 5.2 more than Ole Miss usually allows. Won the turnover battle by 2.

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